X（推特）上的财经、科技与宏观账号
过去七个交易日内美股的这一波抛售是如何发生的？10月8日前后开始，市场对AI高增长叙事和资本开支可持续性的质疑逐步升温，多个事件叠加形成共振： 1）10月8日左右：OpenAI营收口径差引发第一波抛售 引用 @qinbafrank：聊聊CRWV的真实压力以及对能都扛过此次危机？一周前觉得高Beta容易📉的其中一个原因是市场对债务的担心：博通给anthropic和openai担保了近千亿美金，spacex计划借债500亿美金买芯片。当时Crwv的cds暴涨也有了苗头 这周完全成了市场最担心的话题也是大跌的导火索之一。
SPX Price change YTD as of Friday was +11.8%. What percent of the SPX 500 stocks have beaten the SPX? Not cap weighted. Pick the one you think is closest
CNN恐惧贪婪指数过去六个月内的新低17 进入极度恐慌区间，过去两年内有三次恐惧贪婪指数跌倒个位数分别是： 26年三月底伊朗战争期间， 15年11月中美国政府关门、缩表到尾声的流动性小冲击叠加市场第一次质疑资本开支问题； 25年4月初关税贸易战解放日之后川普TACO之前。 https://t.co/yP7n4u9IX9 https://t.co/AQwcZPB2W8 【被引推文】VIX飙起来已经超过7月底的水平，这是有恐慌盘出来了？ https://t.co/NCOtmwsOQ5 https://t.co/lPoWlNrzHe 原文： CNN恐惧贪婪指数过去六个月内的新低17 进入极度恐慌
半导体连续9天下跌，体感难受可以理解，历史数据是06年以来的第一次连续9天都下跌。我自己账户高点回撤8.5%，YTD 33%。所有持仓如下 INTC, MSFT, AMZN, GE, GOOG, CRCL, QCOM, EUAD, NUGT, BE, VST, TSLA, UNH, ADBE, NOK, HOOD https://t.co/oQrOly23A2
另外过去一个月： SPY+1% 纳指+0.7% 道指-0.4% 罗素-5.3% 银行-8.7% 必需品+4.4% 医疗+5.4% 芯片+0.3% 大科技+2.2% 等权-0.1% 情绪面为啥低？ 引用 @TJ_Research：半导体连续9天下跌，体感难受可以理解，历史数据是06年以来的第一次连续9天都下跌。我自己账户高点回撤8.5%，YTD 33%。所有持仓如下 INTC, MSFT, AMZN, GE, GOOG, CRCL, QCOM, EUAD, NUGT, BE, VST, TSLA, UNH, ADBE, NOK, HOOD https://t.co/oQrOly23A2
VIX飙起来已经超过7月底的水平，这是有恐慌盘出来了？ https://t.co/NCOtmwsOQ5 引用 @qinbafrank：如果说上周五看到了📉的风险，那么这两天又看到了可以低买的机会。几个逻辑：
6% outperformance of $TLT vs $SPY https://t.co/1tEJsNiY1l 引用 @dampedspring：Welp. I'm short this thing for the next two months or so. https://t.co/ouflaEgKIc
Another single-day 5 percentage points spread between best performing sector (Energy) and worst performing sector (Tech)
S&P is still up +12% YTD https://t.co/U1xh6dd7gS 引用 @mbrushstocks：1,400 stocks are down 70%+ from their 52-week highs. https://t.co/0t5nE6jYdt
过去1个月，跑赢比例从上周三的17%升至现在的36%。原标题还提及指数回撤。
广度图表（标普500大幅改善……纳斯达克和罗素2000则没那么明显）https://t.co/yS3YDpUsKy 原文： Breadth charts (big improvement for S&P 500 … not so much for NASDAQ and Russell 2000) https://t.co/yS3YDpUsKy
Have only unwound a few weeks of the mania, and there are a lot of folks levered up on the long side of this trade. https://t.co/SikAEjViWC
High Beta, Pure Growth, and Momentum are the only three U.S. equity factor indices in negative territory month to date. By contrast, Low Volatility leads the factor space with a 4.0% gain, while the S&P 500 is up 0.9%. A sector lens helps explain this divergence. Information https://t.co/JQ2jbsTAiW
We're gonna have Misery Futures now 引用 @AdjacentMarkets：We are excited to launch MSRY, the Misery Implied Index, the first live, real-time version of the Misery Index. Misery has been an economic indicator since the 1960s as a broad way of tracking the US economy by adding the unemployment and inf
I miss the days before the paid service🙃 https://t.co/V4yJAmVJmD 引用 @crampell：Billions of dollars’ worth of contracts predicting oil would fall and the S&P 500 would rise were placed about 15 minutes before Trump announced a U-turn on Iran in a post on Truth Social. CFTC staff began to investigate
Momentum factor is one of just three large-cap factor indices in negative territory MTD, alongside High Beta and Pure Growth; Equal Weight initially led Momentum earlier this year, but relationship reversed sharply in April; there have been some brief periods of broader https://t.co/1jkl4cPD6W
TAA flows again today. Thought these guys had disappeared
Sad, but expected outcome for the @fundrise $VCX fund. https://t.co/l2nS17GQ9p 引用 @ToneLoTweets：I was locked up at what would have been semi-life changing money. Now I just get to watch it bleed.
For week ended 10/9/26, large-cap ETFs led equity inflows, while aggregate bond funds recorded largest inflows within fixed income; thematic strategies experienced largest overall outflows @DataArbor https://t.co/M5QpRP6Rdi
Issuance of USDC on Hyperliquidid L1 has drawn even with its supply on Solana https://t.co/peo7CtoOlM
算上今天， 半导体一周跌了10%，MAG7涨1%，等权横盘 半导体过去一个月涨0.9%，MAG7涨6.6%，等权跌1.2%，银行板块跌10%，国防跌8% 半导体的特色就是波动大，从正常波动讲，银行和国防的跌幅可怕多了。 ASTRA, DOTS, MUSE, COPILOT。智能体落地刚刚开始 引用 @Talk666666：@TJ_Research 桃总明天出期视频吧😙今天soxx有点scary
Wow this is sad to see Korean markets with $SKHY / Samsung crash like this. Special thanks to $AVGO CEO adding fuel the fire… Calling AI investors gamblers and saying enterprise AI isn’t delivering ROI. https://t.co/fHzsD9Na4s
Profitable Russell 2000 stocks continue to outperform non-profitable ones (unlike last year when the latter outperformed the former 2-to-1) Source: Bloomberg, as of 10/9/2026. Profitable companies have trailing 12-month earnings per share greater than $0. Indexes are unmanaged, https://t.co/P7hiu8K
标普 500 连续 85 个交易日未出现单日下跌 2% 的情况。
标普等权指数RSP/标普加权指数SPY触及历史新低。之前这里有聊过分化的根源https://t.co/414LouO9O7 https://t.co/y6Hc2NoaE9 引用 @qinbafrank：再看上周五推文聊的几个思路，这两天：1）伊朗袭击油轮、胡塞沙特对轰 ，油价不稳住市场也没稳住； https://t.co/5aoaaS2gMx
港股调整，之后的机会会在哪里？还是要在具体行业里看。最近港股很萎靡，9月恒生指数累计下跌3.73%，恒生科技指数下跌7.92%。但把行业和公司拆开看表现差异很大：AI-bio就是一个例子，过去两个月恒生生物科技指数涨了30%多，港股这个板块里成份股票过去两个月走势都很强。强势也会伴随剧烈波动，上周7 引用 @BITstocks_CN：🇭🇰 BIT 港股，今日正式上线！ 账户不变 · 进阶体验 港股、美股、加密，同一个账户 🔹 USDT/USDC 直投港股，无需银行卡 🔹 7×24h 稳定币出入金，秒到账 🔹 支持港股打新、融资交易、股票转仓 🎁 限时 0 佣金 · 0 利息
宜信唐宁被带走，这算是国内最早成立的也是最晚出事的P2P平台了，唏嘘… https://t.co/xFdX4woeZT
AAII 情绪调查显示，个人投资者股票敞口在 9 月升至 71.8%，为 2017 年以来最高。该比例高于 61.5% 的历史均值。
Looking forward to joining @JackOtter for @barronsonline #Roundtable airing on @FoxBusiness at 7:30pm ET this evening
42只AI股票自2024年1月以来贡献了标普成分股盈利增长、股价回报和资本支出的60%-80%。与此同时，60%的标普500成分股下跌20%或更多。
If you can think of a popular consumer brand in America, its chart probably looks like this https://t.co/a2aWu3vaJ2
If SpaceX ($SPCX) was in the $SPX now, AI-related stocks would be 51% of the index. With Anthropic and OpenAI coming public, add them to the $SPX in 2027 and AI would be ~55% of the $SPX. The last time a single theme was >50% of the $SPX was the railroads in the 19th century. 引用 @AlexMalitas：AI-
UK Prime minister Andy Burnham announces the British government's plan to tackle rising energy prices: from today, UK drivers can consult the cost of gasoline and diesel at nearby forecourts on Google Maps. 🤔 引用 @andyburnham：I know people are worried about fuel prices. And I get it. You get to the
Lisa Abramowicz 表示，FT 一篇关于 OpenAI 营收低于最初报道的报道，促使甲骨文股价下跌超过 5%。她还称，英伟达和 AMD 至微软的损失扩大，并将此作为科技行业对 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 敞口较大的迹象。原文链接：https://x.com/lisaabramowicz1/status/2108242872470319492
Funny thing about $SPY is it's down 60bp and realizing 10 vol annualized. $TLT fell 7% in 5 weeks. Just imagine what that would smell like for SPY
Congratulations to Sergey, Jensen, Lisa, Michael and Satya! 引用 @RapidResponse47：.@POTUS presents the National Medal of Science to Sergey Brin, @JensenHuang, @elonmusk, and @LisaSu, and the National Medal of Technology and Innovation to @MichaelDell and @satyanadella. https://t.co/8IGZV6s9Of
For week ended 10/2/26, bulk of ETF categories had positive inflows, led by government bonds and U.S. large caps … cyclical sectors had largest outflows @DataArbor https://t.co/HwOrY0Cifx
Several smart home related stocks are down on this news this morning. Among movers: Resideo -7.4%, Arlo Technologies -8.7%, https://t.co/gjJxvSVo1P -3.8%, Johnson Controls -2.5%, Carrier Global -2.4%, Allegion-5.6%. 引用 @markgurman：NEW: Apple - in an unusual partnership with LG - is readying a Doorb
标普500指数今日升至历史新高，创下自8月13日以来首次纪录收盘，也是今年第28次纪录收盘。
S&P 500 Technology stocks have been main beneficiaries of this year’s AI trade, up 30% YTD; Communication Services, buoyed by Meta, has more recently joined rally (S&P 500’s best performers in September); yet, credit markets are signalling greater caution; option-adjusted spreads https://t.co/NjNtKd