X（推特）上的财经、科技与宏观账号
How do I use a Microsoft LLM? Where are they? I couldn't find an API on Openrouter. 引用 @mustafasuleyman：We now have state-of-the-art pre-trained base models in the 3T-parameter weight class, built entirely in-house at MAI. Post-training results coming soon -- stay tuned! Lots of details in our te
High Beta, Pure Growth, and Momentum are the only three U.S. equity factor indices in negative territory month to date. By contrast, Low Volatility leads the factor space with a 4.0% gain, while the S&P 500 is up 0.9%. A sector lens helps explain this divergence. Information https://t.co/JQ2jbsTAiW
Kudos to the IMF for not forecasting China's current account surplus away in the latest WEO, and for recognizing that its past forecasts (which had imbalances narrowing over time) have not materialized 1/ https://t.co/bkRdS6yncT
Great paper here, EG, on how eliminating what economists call "market failures" can be self-defeating. https://t.co/hsRCqWYdhJ https://t.co/oeNXjpE655
El-Erian转述《金融时报》称，为知名数据中心融资发行的债券近几周价格已跌至面值以下，相关中心将由Meta、英伟达、Oracle等公司入驻。原文还称，投资者正在抛售所谓的neocloud债务，并附有链接：https://t.co/08RzREOkUT
We're gonna have Misery Futures now 引用 @AdjacentMarkets：We are excited to launch MSRY, the Misery Implied Index, the first live, real-time version of the Misery Index. Misery has been an economic indicator since the 1960s as a broad way of tracking the US economy by adding the unemployment and inf
Given the CoreWeave drama. A good time to remember that a datacenter is a bank. 引用 @TheStalwart：A DATACENTER IS A BANK In today’s newsletter, I wrote some things I’ve been thinking about since our chat with @iaindunning, and how maybe one day we’ll have datacenter supervisors like we have bank sup
Figuring out how to prevent AI models from doing “rogue” things is obviously good. But I also agree with Alvaro here. We don’t know how the future will unfold, but extreme concentrated power per se is worrisome and it’s very plausible that creating strong AI will lead to that. 引用 @GroundhogStrat：So
Great read 引用 @arpitrage：I spent a couple of days at Anthropic learning from their folks about AI advances, and here's what I took away: • We are close to RSI (ie, models building other models) which may lead to rapid takeoff scenarios (with risks and benefits). Some evidence for this is code per
Working out how best to use AI in mathematics research—and in science more generally—will take time, effort, and resources. We’re eager to support mathematicians as they drive scientific progress and define the future of their field. We’ve committed $5 million of funding, 引用 @SimonsFdn：How can the
Grok @Bot improves significantly every day 引用 @jumperz：i was about to pay for a small Codex subscription just for computer use.. honestly, I didn't expect Grok bot's computer use to be this fast... I've been more and more impressed with it every day lately. for day to day stuff, nothing else I've
Shanu Mathew称，燃料电池（BE）的标示成本约为5700美元/千瓦，较每千瓦2000至3000美元的燃气基准高90%至185%。他表示，35%的税收抵免及额外优惠可降低成本，但基础成本仍高；引用内容称，Google与AEP签订20年电力供应协议，涉及AEP一座耗资40亿美元、装机702MW的燃料电池电厂。
Interesting tension across the AI trade this week. TSMC and ASML delivered strong numbers, yet the Anthropic run-rate debate and the CoreWeave selloff have investors questioning the economics underpinning the broader infrastructure buildout. >TSMC reported $46.7B of quarterly
Glad we finally got a word too from $NVDA Jensen Huang today from an event at Stockholm... About $CRWV amid the broader Neocloud selloff. When asked about the markets reactions to Coreweave, Jensen responded: - "Coreweave's strength is improving every day, I'm optimistic" - https://t.co/Dt1uNlL
据@Redfin数据，9月住房卖家数量比买家多逾60%，买家活动在按揭利率上升中继续降温 https://t.co/hb1IjmvkKF 原文： According to @Redfin data, home sellers outnumbered home buyers by more than 60% in September, as buyer activity continues to cool amid rising mortgage rates https://t.co/hb1IjmvkKF
截至10月9日当周，可调利率按揭占按揭申请的10.5%，为一年最大份额，反映负担能力担忧与更高借贷成本 @MBAmortgage https://t.co/LRF3zPHIuF 原文： Adjustable-rate mortgages accounted for 10.5% of mortgage applications for week ended Oct. 9, the largest share in a year, reflecting affordability concerns and higher borrowing costs @MBAmortgage https://
AI驱动的定价压力在9月持续，计算机软件价格同比上涨28%，创下纪录。
在中东，我们正看到拥有大量（非常昂贵的）军事装备与真正拥有军事力量之间的巨大差距。https://t.co/svbbmPh3W2 原文： In the Middle East, we're seeing the vast difference between having lots of (very expensive) military kit, and actually having military power. https://t.co/svbbmPh3W2
The jump in Canadian holdings of U.S. bonds may actually be due to China. A big mystery in the market is how China recycles its $1t trade surplus. In the past they bought Treasuries held through Belgium custodians, but some may be through Canadian custodians as well. https://t.co/hRK69e6Agn 引用 @bus
I miss the days before the paid service🙃 https://t.co/V4yJAmVJmD 引用 @crampell：Billions of dollars’ worth of contracts predicting oil would fall and the S&P 500 would rise were placed about 15 minutes before Trump announced a U-turn on Iran in a post on Truth Social. CFTC staff began to investigate
长债收益率下来了，这次更多是AI放缓担忧导致的而非油价走弱 https://t.co/MxRmB0JZQH 引用 @qinbafrank：Anthropic的营收是AI商业化的全部么？昨晚Anthropic的投资者日披露了三季度的营收数据，被市场解读为增速放缓年底ARR到千亿美金难度很大，更进一步也有人就认为AI商业化出大问题了。这里面就要回答一个问题前沿大模型厂商的营收就能代表AI商业化的全部么？其实不然 https://t.co/ns7oa2Ly6U
It's interesting to see Elon interacting with finance X accounts out of the blue. Then amplifying $CRWV financing concerns, Chinese memory flooding, to AI investors being gamblers recently. With $SPCX and $TSLA, I do think Elon is a visionary but from how it looks from the https://t.co/pjpNDxg1H
Anthropic投资者日披露三季度营收后，市场担忧其增速放缓、年底ARR达到千亿美元难度较大，但前沿大模型厂商营收并不能代表AI商业化全貌。文章认为，企业正将AI采用推向成本工程化，高频、低复杂度任务倾向更便宜的Token、模型和云端部署，并预计三季度云厂商财报会大超预期，理由包括二季度指引强、Agent热潮及企业采用加速。
中国将在2028年生产大量RAM。韩国一篇财经专栏警告称，新增产能上线后，2029年存储器可能供过于求；专栏认为，韩国只有2-3年时间发展新的增长产业，之后这一周期可能逆转。
Volta 正以约 11% 利率推销约 50 亿美元 AI 基础设施债务，项目有一份为期六年的 Anthropic 算力协议；其中 13 亿美元租赁支持贷款由摩根大通和高盛承销，37 亿美元 GPU 部分在没有两家承销承诺的情况下出售，且该交易尚未评级。
推荐理由：三笔融资的利率、发行价和承销安排呈现了不同资金成本口径，并显示客户合同期限与债务期限之间的差异。
作者根据BLS Table 3称，剔除食品、住房和能源后，9月CPI同比约+2.0%、环比约0.3–0.4%；进一步剔除二手车后，同比约+2.3%、环比约0.3–0.4%。文中将这些读数与整体核心CPI同比2.6%作比较，并指出美联储更关注PCE，9月PCE数据要到月底公布；作者还提及明日的PPI数据。
9月整体CPI通胀为3.7%，上升0.3个百分点，较疫情后低点高1.4个百分点。核心CPI通胀为2.6%，上升0.2个百分点，较上月的疫情后低点高0.2个百分点。通胀升温主要由汽油、柴油和燃料价格以及旅游和酒店业推动。
美国9月核心CPI三个月年化变化升至3.41%，前值为1.97%。原文附有链接：https://t.co/o5ulkFrjyu
美国9月CPI环比上涨0.6%，符合0.6%的预期，高于前值0.4%。核心CPI环比上涨0.3%，高于0.2%的预期，与前值0.3%持平。https://t.co/NyNjPLkhu9
美国9月CPI同比上涨3.7%，高于预期的3.6%和前值3.4%；核心CPI同比上涨2.6%，高于预期的2.5%和前值2.4%。原文链接：https://t.co/zVTvHiXL1w
AirTrunk据报道将约15亿美元的新加坡REIT IPO推迟至2027年，几天前Firmus撤回了上市。Firmus寻求的估值接近其8月估值的3倍；AirTrunk推迟也反映出利率较高。两起事件表明，投资者希望承担风险时获得更有吸引力的定价。
投资TALK君称，9月核心环比为0.33%，高于预期的0.22%。房租环比0.4%，交通幅度0.6%，作者将交通变化归因于高油价；二手车价格环比0.7%。
Momentum factor is one of just three large-cap factor indices in negative territory MTD, alongside High Beta and Pure Growth; Equal Weight initially led Momentum earlier this year, but relationship reversed sharply in April; there have been some brief periods of broader https://t.co/1jkl4cPD6W
核心商品价格出现2025年1月以来最大涨幅，汽车价格、男装、玩具和电脑是列出的项目。核心服务价格涨幅达到5个月来最大，涉及酒店、医院和养老院、汽车租赁、机票、学费、城内交通及体育赛事。原文链接：https://t.co/DcuKVvsYl4
9月核心CPI不及预期，涨幅较8月的超预期表现覆盖面更广。核心商品月涨0.25%，为一年来最大月度涨幅；住房月涨0.39%。核心服务（不含住房）的数据见原文链接：https://t.co/Xbgd7iTZGb
Retirees will get a raise in 2027 … social security benefits are set to increase by 3.6%, marking the largest cost of living adjustment since 2023 https://t.co/rL8lJm1zPF
The AI boom is showing up in different corners of the U.S. economy, but the U.S. current account deficit has been largely unchanged. In today's post, the author explores why the AI boom hasn’t substantially affected the trade balance. https://t.co/gPDOlemIbs
Coreweave $CRWV 32年到期的Senior unsecured note, 15%的Yield，价格79，市场慌了。 不在币圈可能不知道，3个月前MSTR的STRC卖71.9，什么负面螺旋的FUD铺天盖地，今天轮到了Coreweave，没有AI需求的风险，但钱贵了，信用风险上升，合理
No hike in October 引用 @AnnaEconomist：This is the diffusion of CPI inflation, measured similarly to Kevin Warsh's preferred PCE inflation diffusion metric. It's down. our full reaction @TheTerminal https://t.co/WGPEXDyOy6 https://t.co/FcbBk7d2GU
英伟达为 Coreweave 的融资提供 GPU 剩余价值担保，以帮助其获得较便宜的资金；资金由基建巨头提供。Coreweave 2032 年到期的高级无担保债券收益率为 15%，价格为 79；发文者称，资金成本上升、信用风险上升。