X（推特）上的财经、科技与宏观账号
Agree with the FT; European car makers need to be ready to invest to compete with Chinese auto makers in their home market and globally -- But you can only compete is you have enough space to survive, and that currently requires insulation from China's massive export wave 1/ https://t.co/wl4laiWNU
中国出口增长并非仅由汽车推动，电气设备、电子产品、机械、化工和钢铁自2021年以来各自的增量都超过汽车。文中称，中国汽车出口浪潮的速度前所未有，汽车出口预计将在2024年底至2026年间翻倍。
I've been pretty clear about my skepticism around land, power and shells, though the rest of the world waking up in a big way could change the picture. The question is whether it happens, and on what timeline. “TSMC is very conservative and doesn't freelance. They're sending 引用 @DratchCap：Zoom out
Gemini Argon 4 crashed on the very first task I gave it (which was largely reviewing this infrastructure model I've developed with my corpus of compute + infra economics info over time)... not off to a promising start.
Artificial Analysis 的首批 Vera Rubin 测试结果显示，其每兆瓦峰值吞吐量较 GB300 高 14%–45%，具体幅度因模型而异。在选定生成速度下，DeepSeek V4 Pro 约为 5.7 倍，GLM-5.2 约为 3 倍，Kimi K3 约为 2.8 倍。原文随后提到，即使按提升 30% 假设，一个 100MW GPU…
Any other degens out there double-screening Kevin Warsh at the IMF in Bangkok and Broncos-Seahawks in overtime?
亚马逊推出可穿戴设备 Bee Frontier 和磁吸手机背面设备 Bee Eclipse，试图将持续记忆与行动代理整合进 Alexa+ 和购物体系。文章认为，Bee 可延伸 Alexa 的个人上下文、捕捉购物需求，并成为亚马逊布局个人行动智能体的潜在催化剂。
鉴于对AI开支、Coreweave等的种种紧张。与@d……谈话时机非常幸运 原文： Given all the jitters about AI spending, Coreweave etc. Very fortuitous timing to be talking with @drwconvexity -- someone at the forefront of the compute trading industry -- TONIGHT at Odd Lots live in Chicago.
AI狂热者不顾大部分飙升发生在*2026年二季度内*、由代币狂推与低竞争窗口驱动（不会再有），仍绝望外推Anthropic环比增速。 之后四个月看起来非常不同。 【被引推文】AI狂热者将因Anthropic确认三季度ARR*持平*而恐慌。若7月26日ARR为650亿、三季度总收入672亿，则基本无ARR增长。甚至比@tickerplus估计还差，而后者已在多数追踪器低端。 原文： AI manics are desperately extrapolating Anthropic's q/q growth without recognizing most of the surge happ
对。这是hyperliquid:native与众不同的一部分。人们在其他链上建了大量DeFi与永续平台。不同在于Hyperliquid专门聚焦于此，因此链本身就嵌入了这些市场如何运作的规则。 【被引】它大概也是我能想到的第一个在经济上成功的窄定向网络…… 原文： Yes. This is part of what makes hyperliquid:native distinct. People have built plenty of DeFi and perp trading platforms on other chains. What's different is that Hyp
只是为访谈准备时跟各种人聊，我意识到世界分成从未听说Hyperliquid的人与痴迷它的人 【被引】新ODD LOTS…… 原文： Just in talking to various people in prep for this interview, I realized the world is divided into people who have never heard of Hyperliquid and people who are obsessed with it https://t.co/PNKFzzespH https://t.co/9dD9haD4Mz 引用 @T
⚠️美国消费者在临近#假日季时仍在支出，失业率低、就业健康…… 原文： ⚠️US consumers are still spending as we approach the #holiday season with low unemployment, healthy balance sheets and wealth accumulation in the driver's seat, but higher inflation is leading to depressed morale & income erosion, capping inflation-adjusted outla
必读：中国官媒关于中国石油进口的评论： 「……中国减少进口的举措超过其他国家释放战略石油储备的总和……」 原文： MUST READ: China state media op-ed on Chinese oil imports: “… China's initiative to reduce imports exceeds the sum of strategic oil reserves released by other countries, effectively blocking the vicious circle of out-of-control global oil
Hyperliquid与我想得到的其他加密事业都不同。 它不是又一个meme币赌场。它是聚焦重构金融的事业，人们在那里24/7交易石油永续。它不是家喻户晓的名字，但USDC发行已追上Sol。 【被引】新ODD LOTS：Jeff Yan播客首秀。@tracyalloway和我极罕见采访Hyperliquid Labs CEO兼联合创始人，谈他容纳全球整个金融系统的计划。 原文： Hyperliquid is unlike any other crypto endeavor I can think of. It’s not another memecoin casino. It’s
Why are US government bond yields falling despite hotter-than-expected CPI and PPI inflation prints (CNBC chart below)? I suspect it comes down to two main drivers, with the second having more implications for the well-being of the US and global economies: A flight to quality https://t.co/DPn00Fgg
另外不得不吐槽一下，老马说28年中国会产很多很多RAM，我就问你，老马的时间点什么时候对过? 另外SPACEX就是一个巨大的新云，27年10GW，算过他要融资多少钱吗？
Obviously you should listen to the whole thing but: 引用 @lukecannon727：Summary of @chameleon_jeff key points with @TheStalwart & @tracyalloway on Odd Lots: - Tracy says she approves of companies with a great mascot like Hypurr - Joe says moderators deleted Hyperliquid's Wikipedia page calling it "
Looking forward to joining @BloombergTV for #TheClose around 3pm ET this afternoon
Last round of Fed-speak before Warsh tonight and the October blackout. All of these comments were made Wednesday: Bowman (a few hours *before* CPI): "I don't feel any urgency... We really need to take some time and understand how things will evolve within the economy." Goolsbee
If the recent 8bln/mo ARR increases for OpenAI+Anthropic continue that'll get them to a combined 1tln ARR by the end of 2035.
WRT rates and inflation, I think you just gotta keep it really simple. Don't spend too much time thinking about deficits, debt, and supply of paper. The story is about spending. Households, corporates and government all spending a lot, and that's what's driving things up. 引用 @TheStalwart：In the new
老黄： $CRWV 的融资成本实际在下降 下次请我做嘴替吧
时间长了你们会发现我经常卖在底部或者卖飞。昨天直播还有人问我前段时间SOXL 卖在底部和为何NUGT还没止损。 每一笔买入，我都有自己的标准，基本面或者交易，那卖出的标准不会是一样的。NKE我看了一下华尔街没有如管理层预期那样下调EPS，压低了前瞻PE。真的实现反转的话，右侧都可以买回来。 https://t.co/0Qz5ssTAkQ
How do I use a Microsoft LLM? Where are they? I couldn't find an API on Openrouter. 引用 @mustafasuleyman：We now have state-of-the-art pre-trained base models in the 3T-parameter weight class, built entirely in-house at MAI. Post-training results coming soon -- stay tuned! Lots of details in our te
And it isn't exactly a secret that China's exports to SE Asia include a lot of parts that are sent to ASEAN countries for final assembly to meet US demand to really cut its dependence on US China needs to find an alternative source of end demand -- and few EMs are big enough/ https://t.co/RCKR2yevh
Kudos to the IMF for not forecasting China's current account surplus away in the latest WEO, and for recognizing that its past forecasts (which had imbalances narrowing over time) have not materialized 1/ https://t.co/bkRdS6yncT
Great paper here, EG, on how eliminating what economists call "market failures" can be self-defeating. https://t.co/hsRCqWYdhJ https://t.co/oeNXjpE655
Figuring out how to prevent AI models from doing “rogue” things is obviously good. But I also agree with Alvaro here. We don’t know how the future will unfold, but extreme concentrated power per se is worrisome and it’s very plausible that creating strong AI will lead to that. 引用 @GroundhogStrat：So
Great read 引用 @arpitrage：I spent a couple of days at Anthropic learning from their folks about AI advances, and here's what I took away: • We are close to RSI (ie, models building other models) which may lead to rapid takeoff scenarios (with risks and benefits). Some evidence for this is code per
I spent a couple of days at Anthropic learning from their folks about AI advances, and here's what I took away: • We are close to RSI (ie, models building other models) which may lead to rapid takeoff scenarios (with risks and benefits). Some evidence for this is code per https://t.co/jJdL3Olnvo
Maybe we should start a competitor to Amazon 🤔 引用 @thecsguy：amazon is blocking grok @bots from ordering, and elon's answer is just have your bot buy it somewhere else. one of my grok bots only handles my amazon returns, so i'm watching this one closely. would you switch stores for your bot? 🛒
Starlink is really that good 引用 @SawyerMerritt：New opinion article about @Starlink from a 7-year Delta Airlines Diamond Medallion status member (their highest loyalty tier): "After flying a United flight in July that included Starlink, it was enough reason for me to switch. It was amazing, like be
Makes sense 引用 @tylerpalmer：imagine an Amazon competitor that is: 1) agent first - built for personal agents 2) america first - sells only products from usa might actually be a huge market for this.
𝕏 is the global town square. No place better to reach the world fast! 引用 @cb_doge：Rockstar Games posted its GTA 6 promo on YouTube and 𝕏. Just 90 minutes later: 𝕏: 7.5 million views YouTube: 1.6 million views Nearly 4.7 times as many reported views on 𝕏. https://t.co/ZGZhnIdg05
Grok @Bot improves significantly every day 引用 @jumperz：i was about to pay for a small Codex subscription just for computer use.. honestly, I didn't expect Grok bot's computer use to be this fast... I've been more and more impressed with it every day lately. for day to day stuff, nothing else I've
财经博主转述并质疑Gartner关于新云服务商的预测，询问其量化依据是否可信。引用内容称，Gartner预计到2030年80%的新云服务商将停止独立运营；2026年AI服务商预计将在AI基础设施上支出近1万亿美元，并预测2027至2030年再投入6万亿美元。
AI infrastructure 👀 "*Every* open source inference cloud I am aware of is growing faster both sequentially and YoY than either Anthropic or OpenAI. And their combined compute spend is becoming material." 引用 @GavinSBaker：TLDR; we will probably never get another ARR number from Anthropic, which is
In four years ChatGPT went from a fun toy to a tool you can use to reach and then advance the frontier of knowledge in numerous subjects. But also you have to pay for it, with either money or attention. "Enshittification!" 引用 @josephfcox：OpenAI continues to enshittify ChatGPT: OpenAI allows adverti
最新ODD LOTS： Jeff Yan播客首秀 @tracyalloway和我与Hyperliquid Labs CEO兼联合创始人做了极为罕见的访谈，谈他要把全球整个金融体系装进去的计划 https://t.co/qZg80EzgOh 原文： NEW ODD LOTS: It’s the podcast debut for Jeff Yan @tracyalloway and I have an ultra-rare interview with the CEO and co-founder of Hyperliquid Labs about his plan to house
一直对Opus 5.5印象极深。大量技术活——重构、改进遗留代码、做新东西——它既聪明、更高效。 绝对是干活机器。只能假设他们在夺回一些份额。https://t.co/EbWKGA3CfZ 【被引推文】若我是Anthropic和超大算力投资者，最该关心的数字是Opus 5.5从9月22日至今带来了多少加速？ 原文： Been extremely impressed with Opus 5.5. Ripping through a lot of technical work - refactoring, improving legacy code, building new things