Fed’s Warsh Announces Productivity, Jobs Task Force Hearing
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said his task force on productivity and jobs will hold a field hearing in the San Francisco Bay Area next month.
外媒与科技媒体长文、研究号文章
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said his task force on productivity and jobs will hold a field hearing in the San Francisco Bay Area next month.
Warsh said he's optimistic that AI will make economies that use it well more productive and wealthier, warning the road there will be "very bumpy."
Fed's Warsh gives no hint on October policy decision Reuters
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said there is little evidence yet of inflation becoming embedded in UK price and wage-setting.
美联储主席凯文·沃什表示,美国正迎来投资热潮,这在一定程度上得益于稳健的宏观经济政策和强劲的微观经济基础。他称这是全球经济最重要的积极进展之一。
Lengthy period of higher costs would squeeze corporate margins and spur some companies to raise prices
Société Générale Americas研究主管Subadra Rajappa与Columbia Threadneedle Investments固定收益全球主管Gene Tannuzzo参加彭博节目,讨论美国通胀与美联储行动。美国9月生产者价格涨幅创四年多来最快,较高能源成本向美国经济传导。
Bloomberg's Sridhar Natarajan joins Scarlet Fu on "Bloomberg Real Yield." As Wall Street’s fixed-income desks struggled in the third quarter, their rivals in equities seized a rare opening to outshine their market brethren. (Source: Bloomberg)
Bloomberg's Prashant Gopal joins Scarlet Fu on "Bloomberg Real Yield." US mortgage rates were unchanged in the past week, offering little relief to a housing market battered by the return of 7% borrowing costs. (Source: Bloomberg)
美国9月PPI环比上涨1.3%,高于分析师预期的0.6%;同期零售销售增长0.8%,高于预期的0.4%,8月数据上修。上周首次申领失业救济人数为199,000,接近历史低位;文章称本周公布的PPI和CPI数据显示通胀压力扩展至能源以外行业,并讨论美联储官员近期释放的利率信号。
推荐理由:美国9月PPI、零售销售和初请失业金数据同时走强,文章将通胀扩散与美联储官员近期释放的利率立场并置。
ECRI首席运营官兼联合创始人Lakshman Achuthan表示,就业不会急剧下滑。10月初首次申请失业救济人数变化不大,显示劳动力市场降温更多来自招聘放缓,而非裁员增加;就业创造疲弱的担忧仍在。
'We see real risks the Fed will deliver another rate hike in two weeks' time,' one Fedwatcher warns
Partners Group首席投资策略师Anastasia Amoroso称,即使生产者价格数据高于预期,美联储下次会议也不太可能加息。她在《Bloomberg Open Interest》节目中发表了这一看法。
EXCLUSIVE: WEF could appoint Lagarde as early as November, sources say Reuters
There is an important difference between giving people certainty and giving them clarity, and Kevin Warsh is wrestling with that distinction in real time.
Warsh's quest for quiet Fed gets vocal pushback Reuters
Spain’s opposition leader backed Pablo Hernández de Cos to run the European Central Bank, a boon for his candidacy just as the country approaches a snap election.
AI相关股票抛售加速,美国股指期货下跌,投资者转向债券。Anthropic向潜在投资者表示,其第三季度营收达到168亿美元,并计划近期上市。投资者还在等待PPI、零售销售和初请失业金数据,以及美联储主席Warsh在曼谷的讲话。
《财富》报道,华尔街对美国经济韧性的担忧上升,小企业销售反馈转弱、医疗行业以外就业增长近乎为零,9月CPI升至3.7%。文章还提到,市场定价显示美联储10月再次加息的概率为50%;科技股下跌期间,韩国KOSPI一度触发停牌,10年期美债收益率在5.32%见顶后回落至5.08%。
The Fed chief’s fireside chat in Bangkok will be scrutinized for any hint of a move in October.
France is able to slash its huge budget deficit troubling investors across the globe, according to the head of the country's central bank.
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普称,伊朗战争“很快就会结束”,并表示结束时间由他决定;他还称伊朗不会拥有核武器,油价将“大幅下跌”。美国中期选举在经济不确定性和全球冲突持续的背景下进行,得克萨斯州民主党参议员候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科接受选民提问,乌克兰总统泽连斯基称因乌军使用星链受限而感到被美国“背叛”。
UK businesses are looking to absorb the energy shock and cut costs rather than hike prices for consumers, Bank of England Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden said as two other officials appeared to make the case for interest-rate hikes.
The European Central Bank is unlikely to step in any time soon with market intervention to help France, according to its former chief, Mario Draghi.
H.E. Mario Draghi, Former Prime Minister, Republic of Italy and Former President, European Central Bank speaks with Bloomberg’s John Micklethwait at the 2026 Bloomberg New Economy Forum in New Delhi. (Source: Bloomberg)
Bessent calls for World Bank reforms, including upstream oil and gas financing Reuters
美国通胀高于预期,令收益率曲线前端承压。美联储负责人 Kevin Warsh 将在曼谷一场会议上发言。
美国消费者价格强于预期,推动市场押注美联储将采取更激进的紧缩政策,铜价随其他基本金属下跌,连续第三天下跌。
Dollar retreats from 18-month high as Treasury yields dip; Fed hike bets ease Reuters
货币政策方面,9月,资金面呈"月初平稳、月中收敛、节前修复"走势,DR001、DR007一度上行至1.43%、1.44%;央行重启14天逆回购(9月18日投1000亿元)、MLF净投2000亿元并提隔夜上限至1万亿呵护跨季,月末DR007降至1.3862%平稳跨季;Q3例会改提"加大逆周期调节"。
IMF亚太区主任Krishna Srinivasan在接受彭博电视采访时表示,重叠的市场风险可能蔓延至亚洲经济体。
美联储9月会议纪要显示,官员们越来越倾向于认为,AI基础设施建设是推动美国商品价格持续上涨的主要因素,关税影响则逐渐减弱。剔除食品和能源后的商品价格仍快速上涨,官员预计整体通胀率要到2029年才有望降至2%的目标水平。部分官员认为,AI建设热潮或使经济需求超过企业供给能力;官员们也预计AI投资将在未来几年提高生产率、扩大经济产出,但收益规模和显现时间难以确定。
JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon discusses the impact of the federal debt on the bond market during an event at the Economic Club of Chicago. (Source: Bloomberg)
A rout in global technology hardware stocks extended Thursday, as Asian chipmakers followed US peers lower on worries over Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and AI funding difficulties.
A forecaster who was early to call the most recent Federal Reserve rate hike now says a bigger, half-percentage-point rate increase could be on the table in December.
美国通胀跳升加剧市场对美联储进一步加息的担忧,金价延续跌势。此次加息押注集中在10月。
Fed survey shows price pressures intensifying as fuel costs rise Reuters
美国CPI高于预期后,市场加大对美联储更激进加息的押注,科技股带动华尔街股市下跌。亚洲股市预计跟随走弱。
美联储官员戴利称,可能需要加息,但并不紧迫。
While inflation numbers might not be disastrous, they’re still disappointing and moving in the wrong direction. Bloomberg Opinion columnist John Authers explains where this leaves the US, and if it will lead to any more rate hikes from the Fed. (Source: Bloomberg)