鲍曼、古尔斯比等美联储官员称降息暂无紧迫性,沃什回应市场指引
至少五名美联储官员在过去两周公开表示降息没有紧迫性;美联储主席凯文·沃什谈及向市场提供指引时称,“我们不做这类事”。引用内容称,鲍曼在 CPI 发布前表示需要时间观察经济变化;古尔斯比的发言未完整显示。
X(推特)上的财经、科技与宏观账号。按时间排,不论是否入选精选。
至少五名美联储官员在过去两周公开表示降息没有紧迫性;美联储主席凯文·沃什谈及向市场提供指引时称,“我们不做这类事”。引用内容称,鲍曼在 CPI 发布前表示需要时间观察经济变化;古尔斯比的发言未完整显示。
AI相关进口激增带来更大的进口价格压力,并正传导至国内生产者和消费者通胀。
美国9月进口价格环比上涨1.1%,其中燃料价格上涨4.8%,非燃料价格上涨0.7%。进口价格同比上涨8.1%,为2022年7月以来最快;非燃料进口价格同比上涨6.0%,为2022年4月以来最快。资本品进口价格同比上涨8.4%,原文称其增速为有记录以来最快,并称由AI带动。原文链接:https://x.com/GregDaco/status/2111087023461437622
Javier Blas称,延布和穆艾吉兹的卫星图像显示,沙特东西输油管道也在以很高负荷运行。利雅得方面此前称,该管道输送量接近每日600万桶。
沙特10月15日从波斯湾和红海码头装载超过2000万桶原油。根据Copernicus Sentinel-2卫星影像,当日装载船舶包括9艘VLCC,以及另外2艘Suezmax或Aframax。
Kevin Warsh's quip definitely got a laugh from the audience in Bangkok. "Kristalina, you pronounce it A.I. In the U.S. we now pronounce it S.I., just so you know."😆 https://t.co/uZlsy0IhVz 引用 @vtg2:Fed Chair Kevin Warsh threading the needle by joking(?) that in the US, AI is now called "SI," and
I'm 37 today, which feels old but the past 7-8 months have felt like a dozen years so honestly pretty charitable in the scheme My only birthday request is that Friday does not Friday this particular Friday—looking forward to a calm day of oil market writeup-ing That'd be great https://t.co/voJvPz3
9月进口价格环比上涨1.1%,前值为上涨0.5%,此前值从上涨0.7%下修。出口价格环比上涨2.2%,前值为上涨1.2%,此前值从上涨0.6%上修。
9月工业生产环比增长0.7%,高于预期的0.4%和前值的0.1%。制造业生产增长0.3%,符合预期的0.3%,前值为下降0.2%。
If anyone was wondering whether Trump's Russian diesel deal was a crack that might provide Europe with some wiggle room to source more Russian molecules ahead of winter the answer is NOPE. https://t.co/8GW8RqqDi5
从控制权的角度看老马是有多想把特斯拉装进SpaceX里去?答案是非常想。从股份和投票权就能看出来: 1)老马在特斯拉持股约20%左右,特斯拉是单一类别股票没有超级投票前去,所以老马在特斯拉的投票权也在20%左右。 2)但SpaceX则不同 老马在SpaceX持股比例48.4%,但SpaceX采用双重股权结构:Class 引用 @qinbafrank:Roadster刚完成新一轮展示对特斯拉的当下影响是什么? 近期市场认真讨论与SpaceX合并的可能性有多大? 下周10月21日美股盘后特斯拉三季报能否超预期、需要关注的点有哪些? 在OKX星球上写了一篇文章,核心就是聊这三方面。 简单说就是:
Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries did temporarily subside following the "Energy Truce" announced by Trump bc Kyiv obviously wants Moscow to stop bombing Ukrainian power plants ahead of winter. But Moscow wasn't interested, so we're back—another refinery strike last night. https://t.co/ttEcbyv
Our latest @SchwabResearch #SchwabMarketPerspective has been published: https://t.co/d1Y4Fjf1c2
U.S. small-scale #solar generation has quadrupled in the last decade. #TodayInEnergy https://t.co/HDgrIxpiFp https://t.co/kyYI9lk3i0
Our latest #OnInvesting podcast episode has dropped, on which @CollinMartinCS and I explore hotter-than-expected inflation and why investors should remain focused on quality as higher rates pressure more interest-rate-sensitive companies. Colin also sits down with @TCWGroup
Ukrainian attacks against Russian refineries/fuel facilities continue to re-ramp following the early-week lull that followed Trump's "energy truce" announcement In fact, all else equal, Russian diesel US sanctions relief actually further bolsters Kyiv's case for said strikes. 引用 @yarotrof:Ukraine
Brent crude launches back above $107/bbl Friday gonna Friday https://t.co/c19rV3K1gG
Spoke with Bloomberg's @roberttuttle about the perfect storm of factors—from exploding shipping rates to weak USGC fuel oil markets—currently standing between Canadian oil producers and their ability to take advantage of high global crude prices. Read: https://t.co/brDtmS3vmr https://t.co/OHm4ZUQu0
Also getting the first real rally in crude timespreads we've seen this week. Feels like we're missing a headline here. 引用 @Rory_Johnston:Brent > $108
TBAC Questionaire. No obvious guidance that "The House" is going to martingale and manipulate the long end further.
Brent > $109 Seeing as of yet **very unconfirmed** reports of thermal anomalies around Yanbu that folks are interpreting as evidence of either an attack on loading infra or the East-West Pipeline [again] Stress the unconfirmed nature of said report; waiting for real news. 引用 @Rory_Johnston:Also g
半导体连续9天下跌,体感难受可以理解,历史数据是06年以来的第一次连续9天都下跌。我自己账户高点回撤8.5%,YTD 33%。所有持仓如下 INTC, MSFT, AMZN, GE, GOOG, CRCL, QCOM, EUAD, NUGT, BE, VST, TSLA, UNH, ADBE, NOK, HOOD https://t.co/oQrOly23A2
LOL! 引用 @DeItaone:TRUMP: KATIE ZACHARIA WILL STAY IN SOME FORM, BUT MAYBE ANOTHER FORM
So, on that Yanbu/East-West Pipeline rumour confirmation... https://t.co/CX9IZiwqty
另外过去一个月: SPY+1% 纳指+0.7% 道指-0.4% 罗素-5.3% 银行-8.7% 必需品+4.4% 医疗+5.4% 芯片+0.3% 大科技+2.2% 等权-0.1% 情绪面为啥低? 引用 @TJ_Research:半导体连续9天下跌,体感难受可以理解,历史数据是06年以来的第一次连续9天都下跌。我自己账户高点回撤8.5%,YTD 33%。所有持仓如下 INTC, MSFT, AMZN, GE, GOOG, CRCL, QCOM, EUAD, NUGT, BE, VST, TSLA, UNH, ADBE, NOK, HOOD https://t.co/oQrOly23A2
Today's TBAC/Dealer Questionnaire may have been a signal that "The House" has folded. If he had wanted to pump ahead of election he could have. The odds he folded went up today. Read this client report and pinned tweet for membership info. https://t.co/XqG6e4LXmx
Dated Brent基准油价单日下跌约10美元/桶,北海现货溢价单日跌幅位居历史最大之列,或为史上最大。
朋友,PM有业绩压力,我没有。 我接触的LO基金,今年全部跑输ACWI 5-10+%,全是出名的机构,主动基金过去几年是灾难区,就算是HF,今年不是5月份的追涨也是一塌糊涂。可以把今年HF的YTD一家家都列出来,没赚多少还DEGROSS,4月份他们敢追吗? 引用 @zhusports1982:@TJ_Research 小桃有自己的view是一个很好的点!但如果站在机构角度,你离PM还有蛮多提升空间~试着站在LO甚至空头角度思考板块配置和仓位管理,比如最近那么明显的degross趋势,就应该降一些硬件仓位或者做对冲,而不是满仓状态去迎接业绩期~
COMMODITY TRADING: Yaoyao Liu, a star oil trader who found himself deep in the hole on a bet made at the start of the Iran war, is set to leave commodities giant Vitol -- via @WSJ https://t.co/AC2yoPqW95
Asked ChatGPT if there was anything urgently relevant published over the past two hours to explain this crude spike and it was like ~ "huh, weird—feels like vibes"
很多LO二季度开始追芯片,卖软件,纯韭菜操作,就是因为就业绩差,要追指数配置,看看我置顶的推。 个人投资你老板是你自己,只需要向自己交代就好,机构的老板是ASSET OWNER,有业绩压力就肯定有时候要妥协,投资理念向业绩妥协,没办法,这个世界就是这么现实 引用 @TJ_Research:朋友,PM有业绩压力,我没有。 我接触的LO基金,今年全部跑输ACWI 5-10+%,全是出名的机构,主动基金过去几年是灾难区,就算是HF,今年不是5月份的追涨也是一塌糊涂。可以把今年HF的YTD一家家都列出来,没赚多少还DEGROSS,4月份他们敢追吗?
VIX飙起来已经超过7月底的水平,这是有恐慌盘出来了? https://t.co/NCOtmwsOQ5 引用 @qinbafrank:如果说上周五看到了📉的风险,那么这两天又看到了可以低买的机会。几个逻辑:
美国军方称,过去7天其协助载有超过1亿桶原油的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡,折合日均超过1400万桶。该口径不包括绕行运输。
The (1-x) qualification to the rotation trade within the stock market away from tech that many seem to favor: Given tech's role in recent years as an engine of economic growth and a magnet for domestic and international capital, the wellbeing of the non-tech sector (1-x) could
布伦特原油近月期货价格触及每桶110美元,为自5月以来首次。原文附有链接:https://t.co/ivboigZqJA
昨天,今天市场都有谣言说有人爆仓了,看到今天网络安全都跌成这样,我的感觉也是可能有机构爆仓了,捡便宜吧
Lovely tribute to Perry Mehrling from @adam_tooze https://t.co/kqJ2TyCO2F (worth reading it, particularly the ending, while considering that Michael Woodford just won the Nobel for a model of the economy that explicitly has no money in it at all)
Story 2 with the whole lead up to October 19th for the 39th anniversary 引用 @dampedspring:Life as an Investment Banking Analyst Oct 13 - Oct 19 1987. The week before the stock market crash of 1987 was already bizarre at Salomon Brothers. On 10/13, John Gutfreund, perhaps sensing the upcoming event
6% outperformance of $TLT vs $SPY https://t.co/1tEJsNiY1l 引用 @dampedspring:Welp. I'm short this thing for the next two months or so. https://t.co/ouflaEgKIc
Is it bullish or bearish that SPX is down 2.1% from ATH close?