White House widens access to tax-exempted diesel, which normally is restricted to non-road uses like farming (dyed diesel), in a bid to reduce fuel coast ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. The new rule allows dyed diesel use on highways until year-end. https://t.co/FzwpHp2HhS
Shell CEO Wael Sawan on the new conversation around energy: “I think there's a recognition once again that you cannot have national security without energy security. You cannot have an industrial or an economic strategy that is not underpinned with a solid energy strategy.”
China has the capacity to produce 50-55 million cars -- The domestic market has fallen from ~ 25m cars to ~20 m cars this year China could easily export 2-3m cars to the US AND its 1.5m cars to Europe https://t.co/3rQ50C7jvW 引用 @BaldingsWorld:One of my favorite parts of this is most everyone miss
“I prefer the world of disruption” - TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne (It says a lot about the trading a capabilities of TotalEnergies — and the money it is going to make this year shipping crude via Strait of Hormuz)
Hormuz oil flows rose to their highest level of the war and then the number of successful Iranian strikes on Hormuz tankers spiked over the past week, Hormuz flow appearing to slow somewhat. Had heard that even before this latest escalation CENTCOM was regularly intercepting
would love to see the accounting that includes Chinese made inputs (mechanically, higher prices of Korean made chips and for that matter Canadian oil will reduce China's import share; I am interested in numbers that account directly for embedded Chinese content) 引用 @BaldingsWorld:Let's be clear, t
Wheels were spinning in Berlin, Brussels and Paris over the summer. Beijing didn't do itself any favors by rather flippantly dismissing European concerns even as China's surplus kept on rising 3/3 https://t.co/O340ESNPA9
* a much bigger tariff differential was put forward in the campaign, and the 20% across the board (no exclusions, including for electronics) tariff of Trump 2's first year did have an impact (final assembly for computers left China nearly completely). the fentanyl tariff is no
Lighthizer (Trump 1) introduced a 25% tariff on about 1/2 of US imports in 2017. Those sectors are now 1/4 to 1/3 of current imports from China. Trump 2 now has tariffs on trade with China to 12.5% (after going much higher), and either 12.5% or 10% on most other trade partners 引用 @BaldingsWorld:
The change to Europe's trade in key sectors occurred quite quickly. The overall balance in say autos was pretty stable going into 2024. It has now fallen in 1/2 if batteries (in HS 85) and added to the total https://t.co/7Pi3KgMUSv 引用 @SanderTordoir:A change of tune in the business community.
Trump says “Canada does all their business with us, we do very little business with them.” Sure looks like a lot of red to me, and I think some of those states might be important in an upcoming election 🤷🏻♂️ https://t.co/1rChTt99ch 引用 @atrupar:Trump: "Canada behaves very badly with the United S
COLUMN: Your oil columnist ditched his gasoline car and bought an EV. “The oil crises of 1973-1979 dramatically reduced the rate of global oil demand growth. Will the current shock do the same? It’s early days, but the parallels are striking.” @opinion https://t.co/tuxKIK9ZLb
As we discussed on MacroTalk this week, the crude market has solved a lot of the supply problem with high surcharges. How its working in detail free on the blog app this week: https://t.co/G2YelbKO66 引用 @BobEUnlimited:Expensive Supply Surging flows through Hormuz via high risk ship-to-ship transfe
Had the pleasure of meeting Michelle at an event in Toronto a few weeks ago—she’s fantastic, and I’d encourage folks to listen. Our conversation was scheduled before the latest controversy cycle, and I think a lot of people would be surprised to hear how Kpler analysts interpret 引用 @DropSiteNews:
Iranian oil minister Mohsen Paknejad has resigned, according to state media, which didn't give any reason for his departure. Paknejad had been oil minister since Aug 2024. Hamid Bovard named acting minister.
My colleague @alexlongley1 speaks to the captain of an oil tanker doing Strait of Hormuz crossings. “Tankers are always at risk all the time,” the captain said. “It’s a very dangerous vessel.” https://t.co/2ARuar25xu
"i don't trust that [tanker/satellite imagery/flow] data, it's obviously manipulated" <shows multiple independent estimates all roughly indicating the same pace and trend> "see, that's the proof—collusion! you should instead trust my skeptical VIBES" https://t.co/TuUtftU9wL
for anyone following the oil market for more than the past few months, it’s *very* funny seeing people start to say that observed data (Kpler/Vortexa/satellite imagery) is manipulated and for proof we should look at the *implied* estimates from IEA/EIA/Chinese government data 😂 https://t.co/beRZCx7
Scenario (absolutely no relation to today) >oil experiences largest-ever supply shock >record pace of stock/emergency buffer drawdown >stocks fall from really high to precarious levels >supply fights to recover >mounting risk to 15 MMbpd of recovered supply Where are prices?
The Economist's Free Exchange column highlights how state investors have lost interest in conventional reserve assets (read Treasuries) and have joined the rest of the world in reaching for yield ... 1/3 https://t.co/zcO4YhdyST
This is a good example of domestic political considerations and geopolitical pressures driving an economic policy decision in this era of geo-economics. Releasing these strategic reserves helps partially shield consumers from soaring prices, but it’s also a high-stakes, https://t.co/AXLFDWGQQn
美国将向Vistra $VST 提供40亿美元贷款,以提升核电产量 引用 @AIQuanting:@wallstengine The only nuclear I see landing before 2030 is uprates at plants already running. Everything new is a 2035 story. How many megawatts does $4B of uprate actually buy?