So by all means warn of the standard risks of protectionism -- but also don't ignore the unique scale and force of China's current export wave, and the distortions to global competition that flow out from China own unbalanced economy 5/5 https://t.co/XORjFTyQsC
Current growth rates in the European market (a market of say 11m cars ex UK) would bring Chinese exports to 3m in 2027 and 5m in 2028 ... forcing a massive retrenchment that would undermine capacity to actually invest and compete in the future 4/ https://t.co/Twet3xyvTY
沃什主席参加2026年国际货币基金组织和世界银行集团年会的炉边对话 观看直播:https://t.co/H1AKaTiGhT 了解更多关于沃什主席:https://t.co/b8iRmcfSbS 原文: Chairman Warsh participates in a fireside chat at the 2026 Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group Watch live: https://t.co/H1AKaTiGhT Learn more about Chair
尽管本周CPI与PPI都热于预期,十年期收益率仍下行。 原文: 10-year yield down despite CPI and PPI coming in hotter than expected this week. https://t.co/N4H2O0yLyN https://t.co/WePZzQYJj6 引用 @TheStalwart:We've had two hot inflation prints in a row, and yet rates have been sliding. The entire market is all about the AI trad
初请失业金升至19.9万,预期20.0万,前值19.8万;续请失业金171.0万,预期170.9万 原文: Initial jobless claims up to 199k vs. 200k est. & 198k prior; continuing claims at 1.710M vs. 1.709M est. & 1.714M prior … greatest increases in CA (+4.3k), IL (+1.1k), & NJ (+0.9k); greatest decreases in HI (-0.3k), MI (-0.1k), & IA (-0.1k) ht
Once seen as a conduit for better global policy coordination because of its broader representation, the G20 has struggled in recent years to agree on a joint communiqué, let alone act as a conductor of collective action to address global challenges. Today's meeting in Thailand on https://t.co/4usIYN
After a solid run over the past year, the KBW Bank Index has retreated sharply from its August peak, falling nearly 14% [Past performance is no guarantee of future results] https://t.co/8CoY5kiiHC
PODCAST: Pleasure to join @Rory_Johnston for a discussion about the war, why oil prices didn't reach $200 a barrel, the global economy, Hormuz crossings, China and a lot more stuff. https://t.co/mRn6XSya27
Last round of Fed-speak before Warsh tonight and the October blackout. All of these comments were made Wednesday: Bowman (a few hours *before* CPI): "I don't feel any urgency... We really need to take some time and understand how things will evolve within the economy." Goolsbee
Under Operation Economic Outcast, Treasury’s @FinCENnews issued an Alert asking financial institutions to report potential Iranian regime abuse of religious charity networks, including diversion of religious tithes, or khums. The Iranian regime has been known to abuse ostensibly
Smart Tho aligning with the EU on plug in hybrids and battery electric vehicles currently means doing somewhat different things 引用 @FT:France and Germany to allow UK in EU car policy if it aligns on China tariffs https://t.co/yOtqTd2Q5m
Today, as part of Operation Economic Outcast, Treasury disrupted Iran’s efforts to infiltrate the international financial system through an Iraqi bank that also supports Iran’s terrorist proxy militia groups. By dismantling these institutions—including offshore banks and shadow
And it isn't exactly a secret that China's exports to SE Asia include a lot of parts that are sent to ASEAN countries for final assembly to meet US demand to really cut its dependence on US China needs to find an alternative source of end demand -- and few EMs are big enough/ https://t.co/RCKR2yevh
Tho to be clear, without a 1 pp of GDP increase in gold imports by China in 2026 its surplus would be way up -- and the latest export and import numbers point to a substantial net export contribution in 26 even with that surge on gold imports ... so the 26 imbalance is actually https://t.co/HgnRaIHk
Kudos to the IMF for not forecasting China's current account surplus away in the latest WEO, and for recognizing that its past forecasts (which had imbalances narrowing over time) have not materialized 1/ https://t.co/bkRdS6yncT
Heads up that we're doing a rare Twitter space tonight with @DonMiami3 and @RealJohnGaltFla. Stop in, listen to our chat, say hi, disagree vehemently, insist that I'm paid by both the CIA and Tehran—it'll be a blast! 引用 @DonMiami3:Join us with @Rory_Johnston next Thursday for macro happy hour on o
截至10月9日当周,可调利率按揭占按揭申请的10.5%,为一年最大份额,反映负担能力担忧与更高借贷成本 @MBAmortgage https://t.co/LRF3zPHIuF 原文: Adjustable-rate mortgages accounted for 10.5% of mortgage applications for week ended Oct. 9, the largest share in a year, reflecting affordability concerns and higher borrowing costs @MBAmortgage https://
在中东,我们正看到拥有大量(非常昂贵的)军事装备与真正拥有军事力量之间的巨大差距。https://t.co/svbbmPh3W2 原文: In the Middle East, we're seeing the vast difference between having lots of (very expensive) military kit, and actually having military power. https://t.co/svbbmPh3W2
CNY generally strengthened v the USD in q3, so there is no particular reason export conversion dried up -- but definitely not seeing flows of the expected size in the state banks right now. 4/4
Where did China's $130b plus September trade surplus go? as of now, it a bit of a mystery There is no settlement data yet, and nothing showed up at the PBOC. Guess the market really did play a decisive role in CNY valuation :) 1/ https://t.co/Kf4sArxZqO
In an interview with the FT, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said his country will restart strikes on Russia’s oil refineries. “The block [on attacking refineries] is out. We’re done,” Zelenskyy said. https://t.co/y95QRcuc5T
监管副主席鲍曼(Bowman)关于硅谷银行(Silicon Valley Bank)事件后监管现代化的讲话:https://t.co/1cboQnCXKz 观看直播:https://t.co/bzEEBXfuyT 了解更多关于监管副主席鲍曼的信息:https://t.co/tWe5lT37NX 原文: Speech by Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman on supervisory modernization after Silicon Valley Bank: https://t.co/1cboQnCXKz Watch live: https://t.c