From Goldman to BofA, Strategists Try to Call Peak Bond Yields
Wall Street strategists are divided over whether US bond yields will come tumbling down by the end of the year or keep pushing up to new highs.
#债券/利率
外媒与科技媒体长文、研究号文章
彭博AI 评分2929
彭博利空AI 评分1919 Kenya Holds Rates With Eye on Inflationary Risks From Iran War
Kenya’s central bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged as policymakers took a wait-and-see approach in assessing what impact energy shocks stemming from the Iran war will have on the economy and inflation.
彭博AI 评分2424 Poland Holds Rates Steady as Fuel-Price Cap Curbs Inflation
Poland’s central bank kept interest rates on hold for a seventh month after the government cut fuel prices, easing inflationary pressures for the time being.
彭博AI 评分3535 Nassim Taleb Says ‘Vulnerable’ Bonds Risk Hurting Stock Rally
The Black Swan author Nassim Taleb warned that a pullback in demand for US Treasuries risks creating a fault line across markets, potentially hurting a record-beating stock rally.
路透社利空AI 评分3333 Hawkish Fed triggers emerging market outflows in September - Reuters
Hawkish Fed triggers emerging market outflows in September Reuters
MarketWatchAI 评分1010 This part of the bond market offers compelling yields with minimal risk
You can earn good yields with very low price risk in ultrashort bond funds.
彭博AI 评分2323 Bessent Pressed by Warren on ‘Chaotic’ US Treasuries Buybacks
Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren issued a series of questions to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on what she dubbed “unprecedented and chaotic” interventions in the US Treasuries market.
彭博AI 评分2323 Mexico Local Bond Sales Hit Record as Companies Rush to Market
Mexican companies are tapping the local bond market at a record clip as lower interest rates at home, looming maturities and a growing pool of institutional capital spur deals.
彭博AI 评分2929 France’s Battered Bonds Are Starting to Tempt Bargain Hunters
France’s bond selloff may be approaching a turning point, as the surge in yields tempts some investors to wade back into the market.
彭博利空AI 评分3838 Fed’s Choice Is ‘Hike or Bond Spike,’ Says BofA’s Cabana
Mark Cabana, co-head of global rates strategy at BofA Securities, says markets and economies around the world are starting to see the bite of higher rates and that the Federal Reserve needs to keep hikes on the table. He speaks on “Bloomberg Surveillance.” (Source: Bloomberg)
CNBC利空AI 评分3232 France is caught between angry students and unforgiving bond markets
France's student protests took a breather on Wednesday after weeks of unrest, but market pressure on the French government intensified ahead of budget talks.
路透社AI 评分2929 US 30-year mortgage rate hits highest in nearly three years - Reuters
US 30-year mortgage rate hits highest in nearly three years Reuters
金融时报AI 评分5858 全球债券抛售再起，30年期美债收益率升至2002年以来最高水平
全球债券抛售再度出现，30年期美债收益率升至2002年以来最高水平。法国、意大利和英国国债也在波动交易中承压。
路透社利空AI 评分5555 美国30年期国债收益率升至24年来新高
美国30年期国债收益率升至24年来新高。
卫报利空AI 评分2121 Tell us: are you affected by the 6% mortgage rate?
Will the mortgage rate rise change your plans to buy a house or move?The average cost of a five-year fixed-rate mortgage has hit the 6% barrier for the first time in three years.Figures from financial information provider Moneyfacts show the average is now 6.00%, its highest point since September 20
彭博AI 评分3232 France Turmoil Threatens to Drag ECB Into Bond Market Showdown
From street protests to a bond market rout, France’s multiple crises are threatening to drag the European Central Bank into the kind of faceoff with investors that it hasn’t seen since the euro area’s debt crisis more than a decade ago.
彭博AI 评分3434 US Mortgage Rates Jump to 7.49%, Highest in Nearly Three Years
US mortgage rates climbed for a seventh straight week to their highest level in nearly three years, compounding the nation’s affordability problem.
彭博AI 评分1616 Peru Seen Lifting Rate for First Time Since 2023: Decision Guide
Peru’s central bank is expected to lift interest rates Wednesday for the first time in more than three years as inflation remains above target and heavy rains may hit food prices.
金融时报AI 评分1515 How US mortgage bonds can trigger a ‘vicious loop’ for Treasury yields
One little cog in the bond market’s feedback machine
CNBC利空AI 评分3434 Mortgage rates sit at nearly 3-year high, and demand continues to shrink
Mortgage rates rose to the highest level in nearly three years, causing demand for both refinancing and homebuying to decline even further.
路透社利空AI 评分2121 Wealthy investors view rates and yields as the biggest growth risk, says Deutsche Bank - Reuters
Wealthy investors view rates and yields as the biggest growth risk, says Deutsche Bank Reuters
彭博AI 评分2626 ECB’s Dolenc Says Rate Give Flexibility for Next Decisions
The European Central Bank’s existing monetary policy stance will allow officials to react to any shock, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.
彭博AI 评分4141 美银称未来十年债券回报可能超过股票
美国银行股票与量化策略主管 Savita Subramanian 表示，未来十年债券可能跑赢股票。她称，当前10年期美债的风险回报率略高于5%，而美国银行的估值框架显示，标普500未来十年回报可能达不到5%。
彭博利空AI 评分3636 BofA’s Subramanian Says Bonds in Rare Competition With Stocks
Equity markets face a genuine rival in bonds for the first time in decades, according to Savita Subramanian at Bank of America Corp., who also cautioned that elevated investor sentiment leaves stocks more exposed to disappointment than upside.
彭博利空AI 评分2929 India Signals More Rate Hikes Ahead
Higher borrowing costs may be here to stay in India. With inflation pressures building from a weak monsoon, oil at $100 a barrel and a softer rupee, the RBI has begun tightening policy. Ruchi Bhatia explains why more rate hikes could follow. (Source: Bloomberg)
CNBC利空AI 评分2020 'Get your house in order': IMF chief's stark warning for France over surging bond yields
France is facing a fresh political crisis, as its debt levels and borrowing costs continue to rise.
金融时报AI 评分4242 8月工资增长未阻碍日本央行进一步收紧政策
8月工资增幅高于预期，实际工资仍处于正值区间，这些情况没有阻碍日本央行进一步收紧政策。
彭博AI 评分5252 冰岛央行维持关键利率在8%，经济显现降温迹象
冰岛央行维持关键利率在8%，结束为期七个月的紧缩阶段。彭博摘要称，在通胀持续的背景下，冰岛经济显现降温迹象。
CNBC利空AI 评分2828 Treasury yields rise ahead of closely-watched 10-year auction and FOMC minutes
U.S. Treasury yields climbed early Wednesday after retreating in the previous session, as investors awaited a closely watched 10-year note auction.
卫报利空AI 评分2929 IMF chief warns energy shock, public debt and AI boom threaten global growth – business live
Kristalina Georgieva’s warning comes as Brent crude rises above $101 a barrelGood morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.The UK housing market has come to a standstill, ahead of the introduction of the government’s Your First Home scheme
彭博利空AI 评分4040 欧洲央行管委穆兰称法国债市尚未达到干预条件
欧洲央行管理委员会成员Emmanuel Moulin表示，法国债券市场情况复杂且严峻，但尚不足以构成欧洲央行出手干预的理由。
金融时报利空AI 评分2828 IMF’s Georgieva urges governments to rein in spending
Fund’s managing director says officials face ‘very tough political choices’ as they seek to combat soaring bond yields
Business Standard利空AI 评分4949 RBI MPC上调回购利率25个基点至5.5%：回顾此前五次加息
RBI MPC将回购利率上调25个基点至5.5%。文章回顾印度央行此前五次加息及当时的通胀背景。
Business Standard利空AI 评分5555 RBI加息25个基点至5.50%，印度10年期基准收益率上升6个基点
RBI将回购利率上调25个基点至5.50%，并表示后续行动可能是加息或暂停。印度10年期基准收益率随之上升6个基点。
彭博AI 评分1919 Central Bank ‘Hubris’ Era Gets Slammed by Ex-BIS Official Borio
Central banks should take some blame for the threat to their independence, according to a former senior official at the Bank for International Settlements.
彭博利空AI 评分3636 India's Central Bank Hikes Repo Rate By 25 Bps
RBI raised interest rates for the first time in nearly four years. Governor Sanjay Malhotra says given the current economic scenario, rate hikes are off the table in the near-term. (Source: Bloomberg)
路透社利空AI 评分4747 印度上调政策利率25个基点，为近四年来首次加息
印度上调政策利率25个基点，这是近四年来首次加息。
金融时报AI 评分77 Neat tricks to help French bonds
And why they won’t work
Business Standard利空AI 评分3131 RBI MPC hikes repo rate by 25 bps to 5.5%, near-term cuts 'off the table'
RBI MPC October 2026: At its policy meeting, held between October 5 and October 7, the committee changed the stance to 'calibrated tightening'
彭博AI 评分2323 Poland to Hold Rates as Fuel-Price Cap Seen Cooling Inflation
Poland’s central bank is set to keep interest rates on hold for a seventh straight month as the government’s move to reduce fuel prices at the pump buys policymakers more time to assess inflation path.