美国就业数据弱于预期、油价下跌后新兴市场股票和货币上涨
新兴市场股票和货币上涨，背景是美国就业数据弱于预期且油价进一步下跌，市场对美联储大幅加息的担忧有所缓和。
#债券/利率
外媒与科技媒体长文、研究号文章
彭博利好AI 评分5353 CNBC利空AI 评分1818 Surging Treasury yields don’t signal a U.S. 'fiscal apocalypse' — yet
Treasury yields above 5% are raising fears that higher borrowing costs could fuel a debt spiral.
路透社利好AI 评分1616 Stocks upbeat, dollar wobbles as Fed hike bets recede - Reuters
Stocks upbeat, dollar wobbles as Fed hike bets recede Reuters
彭博利空AI 评分2929 Indian Bond Yield Curve Seen Flatter as RBI Drains Surplus Cash
India’s bond curve is poised to flatten further as the Reserve Bank of India steps up liquidity withdrawals, prompting some investors to favor 10-year debt over five-year notes.
财富利空AI 评分5353 比尔·格罗斯警告长期债务波动加剧，并称不持有债券（一年期美国国库券除外）
PIMCO联合创始人比尔·格罗斯称，政府、住房抵押贷款和企业信贷总额约为84万亿美元，债务与资产负债表失衡可能增加增长风险；他表示，除收益率为4.55%的一年期美国国库券外，不持有债券。
CNBCAI 评分1414 Here are 3 things we're watching in the stock market in the week ahead
The oil and bond markets will remain a critical driver of stocks.
彭博利空AI 评分2626 Wall Street’s AI Party Is on Edge as Soaring Yields Raise Risks
Wall Street’s artificial intelligence fixation is so strong that it’s overwhelming all risks, including soaring interest rates, as investors continue to plow money into the market’s largest technology stocks and push equity indexes toward record highs.
彭博利空AI 评分4141 就业放缓但通胀令美联储保持警惕
Ira Jersey表示，9月就业数据走软，为美联储10月维持利率不变留出空间；但通胀持续，决策者仍可能在12月及明年年初再次加息。他还称，经济增长强劲和财政政策宽松推高全球债券收益率，令各国央行继续面临抑制通胀的压力。
MarketWatchAI 评分3535 Fed minutes coming this week could give markets important clues about future rate hikes
Minutes from the September meeting may provide extra context, as the real fed-funds rate is now surprisingly low.
彭博利空AI 评分3535 Whispers of Contagion Risk Are Returning to Europe’s Bond Market
Traders are on the alert for signs of contagion in Europe’s government bond market after a selloff triggered memories of the region’s debt crisis 15 years ago.
金融时报AI 评分2020 What can revive the battered government bond market?
Market Questions is the FT’s guide to the week ahead
Business StandardAI 评分1010 RBI MPC policy, oil prices, bond yields may drive market this week
Macroeconomic data announcements and foreign investors' trading activity will also guide market trends
彭博AI 评分3636 Fed, ECB Minutes to Show Inflation Fears as Hike Bets Fade
Any urgency among Federal Reserve and European Central Bank policymakers to follow up September interest-rate hikes at this month’s meetings has been dialed back in the wake of soft US jobs data and acute stress in French financial markets.
财富AI 评分4747 Scope Ratings警告美国债务愈发受市场摆布，利息成本飙升与选举加剧债务上限风险
Scope Ratings维持美国主权信用评级在AA-、展望稳定，并警告利息成本上升和市场情绪变化正加大美国债务风险。美国10年期美债收益率为5.27%；若收益率持续比国会预算办公室预测高约1个百分点，未来十年债务或增加3.5万亿美元。Scope预计债务上限41.1万亿美元将在2027年初触及，选举后的政治僵局可能延长债务上限争端。
MarketWatchAI 评分2929 As Treasury yields touch generational highs, investors brace for the market fallout
The surge in bond yields to generational highs has investors around the world watching and worrying about what could crack, spiral or leave a trail of carnage in its path.
财富AI 评分4040 债券市场揭示了国会、国债与中产阶级的什么问题，以及美国未来走向何方
美国国债收益率上升，反映政府财政赤字与私人投资争夺储蓄，长期实际融资成本走高。30年期盈亏平衡通胀率约为2.3%，而30年期实际收益率已超过3%；截至9月30日，30年期美债收益率收于5.62%，为2002年以来高位。文章主张通过削减支出和适度增税推动财政改革。
金融时报AI 评分88 What’s driving the global bond sell-off?
Looking at the most cited factors reveals a mixed picture
彭博AI 评分3939 Europe’s Stocks Are Straining Under Pressure From Bond Yields
A historic surge in global bond yields is becoming a bigger problem for European stocks as investors confront the possibility of stubborn inflation and mounting government debt.
金融时报AI 评分1616 Rising gilt yields attract retail investors hunting for tax-efficient assets
30-year yields are above 6 per cent for the first time since 1998
彭博AI 评分5757 美国9月非农新增就业29,000人，低于彭博调查中的所有预估
美国9月非农就业人数增加29,000人，低于彭博调查中的所有预估，前两个月数据同时被下修。数据公布后，交易员下调了对美联储本月再次加息的押注，新兴市场货币指数升至盘中高点。
金融时报AI 评分1818 Healey set to delay difficult choices with ‘breathing space’ UK Budget
Chancellor expected to focus statement on targeted help for households and businesses rather than tax rises on the scale of recent budgets
彭博AI 评分2323 Treasury Yields Climb, Adding to Weekly Gains | Closing Bell
Comprehensive cross-platform coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Katie Greifeld, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. (Source: Bloomberg)
彭博AI 评分3333 Wall Street Tries to Live With 5% Yields as Market Cracks Grow
Wall Street has spent weeks trying to make peace with the great bond selloff. Friday offered some short-lived relief — along with a warning about the damage from stubbornly high yields across investment strategies of all stripes.
彭博AI 评分2323 Bond Yields Are 'Juicy,' Says Apollo's Slok
Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo, joins Scarlet Fu an Tom Keene on "Bloomberg Money." He says the yields you can get now in fixed income are "juicy." (Source: Bloomberg)
彭博AI 评分1717 Need To Think More About Fixed Income: Slok
Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo, joins Scarlet Fu an Tom Keene on "Bloomberg Money." They discuss economic tailwinds, inflation, the bond market, AI, and private markets. (Source: Bloomberg)
彭博AI 评分2121 Traders Waver on Bets For Another Rate Hike This Year
Bond traders are betting so heavily that more interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are on the horizon that even the anticipated slowdown in job growth is unlikely to significantly alter the outlook. Kitty Richards, senior fellow at the Groundwork Collaborative and a former Treasury official,
财富AI 评分6565 法国债券投资者提高对主权违约风险的定价，五年期 CDS 升至 81 个基点
法国债券市场加大了对主权违约风险的定价，五年期主权 CDS 周五早间升至 81 个基点，10 年期国债收益率升至 4.989%，为 2002 年以来最高。法国与德国同期限国债收益率利差扩大至 152 个基点，为 2011 年欧元区债务危机以来最高，之后两项指标均从高位回落。
MarketWatchAI 评分1818 Why bond investors quickly lost their enthusiasm for weak jobs figures
A weak U.S. labor report did what bad news hadn’t done in a while: It made U.S. debt look like a safe haven again — albeit briefly.
MarketWatchAI 评分00 How much higher can bond yields rise — and what does it mean for stocks?
Also in Weekend Reads: Adjustable-rate mortgage loans, Gen Z entrepreneurs and advice from the Moneyist.
彭博AI 评分66 Stocks, Bonds Rise as Weak Jobs Curb Fed-Hike Bets
Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern speak daily with leaders and decision makers from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. No other program better positions investors and executives for the trading day than "Bloomberg Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
彭博AI 评分3030 France’s Bond Crisis Deepens
Investors are heading for the exit as France's bond crisis deepens and political gridlock sets in. Georgia Hall explains. (Source: Bloomberg)
彭博AI 评分3030 Hedge Funds Exiting Crowded Trades Fueled Rout in French Bonds
Hedge funds caught on the wrong side of this week’s slump in French bonds were forced to unwind bets rapidly, fueling wild moves that European markets struggled to absorb.
金融时报AI 评分2323 Treasuries are losing their moneyness
For four decades, US government bonds have been both securities and money. They may no longer be that special
彭博AI 评分2323 ECB’s Nightmare Scenario Gets Closer as French Bond Yields Surge
The European Central Bank risks being pulled into the vortex of France’s bond-market troubles as surging yields raise pressure on officials to act.
彭博AI 评分3939 French Bond Risk Hits Euro-Crisis Levels
French government bonds deepened this week’s slump, with investors demanding the biggest yield premium to hold the bonds over safer German debt since the region’s debt crisis. Huw van Steenis, Partner at Apollo, discusses this as well as the overall European economic outlook. (Source: Bloomberg)
彭博AI 评分55 We’re Speaking to Don Wilson at Odd Lots LIVE in Chicago
Plus some thoughts on the bond market and statecraft.
CNBCAI 评分1515 The sector in the cross hairs of the bond sell-off looks poised for a bounce, says Mike Khouw
An interesting tug of war is happening in one of the market's hottest sectors: utilities.
彭博AI 评分3636 Rebecca Patterson Warns On Fragile Bond Markets
Global markets are rallying on softer payrolls, but Council on Foreign Relations Senior Editor Rebecca Patterson warns that the real story is rising bond yields, ballooning deficits, and nervous investors. She explains why France leads her "fragile four," how hedge funds and AI-related debt are resh
Fast CompanyAI 评分7070 美国9月新增就业2.9万人，失业率升至4.2%
美国劳工部报告显示，9月新增就业2.9万人，低于经济学家预期的9万人；失业率从8月的4.1%升至4.2%。劳工部将7月和8月新增就业合计下修6万人，平均时薪同比增长3%，为2021年5月以来最小增幅。数据公布后，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数期货涨幅扩大，10年期美债收益率降至5.17%，前一日为5.24%。
金融时报AI 评分4646 美国9月就业人数增长弱于预期，或使利率制定者10月按兵不动
美国9月就业人数增长弱于预期，失业率也小幅上升；这可能使利率制定者在10月暂不调整利率。