克利夫兰联储主席 Beth Hammack 表示,投资者更多是根据他们认为美联储会做什么、而不是应该做什么来交易,这一观点与 Kevin Warsh 为追求更纯粹的市场信号而少谈前景的主张格格不入。 “曾在市场一侧 https://t.co/Bnf0fqYoGN 原文: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said investors trade more on what they think the Fed will do than one what it should do, a view that sits uneasily with Kevin
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said investors trade more on what they think the Fed will do than on what it should do, a view that sits uneasily with Kevin Warsh's push to say less about the outlook in pursuit of a purer market signal. "Having been on the market side of https://t.co/1BqePizq
Fiscal dominance. And it begs the question; if hikes don’t have the same effect, is going further really the answer? 引用 @AahanPrometheus:The Fed may have to go further than in prior cycles to slow down activity Hikes don't have the same effect as before https://t.co/k5AKTFbYs1
Williams: "There are scenarios where the economy evolves in a way that you would need to have a higher path of interest rates to best achieve best achieve our goals. There’s also, I would say, equally there are future paths of the economy that would say that you don’t need to do
Governor Waller participates in a discussion at the @BBGNewEconomy Forum 2026 Watch live: https://t.co/LRdfwsAu4K Learn more about Governor Waller: https://t.co/x9pLY09PF9
The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded on Monday to Robert E. Hall and Michael Woodford “for microeconomic foundations of macroeconomic stabilization.” https://t.co/tDkez5xSH6
Hammack adds that Fed should act and markets react — encouraging to see rise in yields contributing to tighter policy stance, but stresses this is a function of Fed actions and signaling.
Hammack speaks about accountability and information in Fed providing forecasts — « but I’m not invested in SEP being right » She offers connecting the dots with economic forecasts to have a better understanding of individual reaction functions https://t.co/K61fi3nqKH
At #NABE2026, @ClevelandFed Pres Hammack says « policymakers need to explain the information & thought process behind our interest rate decisions. Explaining my reaction function is not a prediction for policy. It’s describing how I expect policy to adjust as conditions change » https://t.co/sqwUmpP
3/ She prefers "smaller, more frequent" moves to avoid bigger hikes later. Her neutral-rate estimate is among the Fed's highest, and she says if she's wrong, it's too low. Also, higher yields are "absolutely not" a substitute for Fed hikes https://t.co/Amj2pqRriQ
What does a Fed hawk listen for on a factory floor? At industrial-hardware maker Jergens in Cleveland, Beth Hammack heard that price has fallen to third in importance on customers' lists, behind quality and speed.
Remember two weeks ago when risk premium sceptics were looking at ACM and saying risk premiums were falling not rising. Where are the sceptics today. Using one model is stupid but thinking risk premiums were falling back then was even stupiderer https://t.co/KnWYUsuzHk
Another great MacroTalk with @AahanPrometheus this week covering: - The telling market response to the OpenAI News - How the Fed tightening cycle may be more than planned - What the bending LLM revenue S-curve means for macro Check it out! https://t.co/AqMEIEVPoI
How does the Federal Reserve’s view of the price of goods and services differ from that of a consumer? In today's "Street Level" post, Research Director Kartik Athreya explores this topic from the perspective of a central banker. https://t.co/60SatHrgSq
Why is the White House holding a hearing on Fed governor Lisa Cook now? Trump explained why in July. After the Supreme Court let Cook keep her seat while she challenges his attempt to fire her, Trump said on CNBC that the court "sent it back, not based on the merits. They sent 引用 @NickTimiraos:Mo
There is little consensus on the effect of AI adoption on employment. In today's post, the authors study this topic for U.S. small businesses using data from the 2025 Small Business Credit Survey to examine the 12-month forward employment & revenue expectations of AI users.
On October 6, 2026, Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman gave remarks on modernizing regulation and supervision @stlouisfed: https://t.co/TdHpdx4GjV https://t.co/ubwQHalP7D
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent tells Fox's @IngrahamAngle that he hopes the Fed will keep an "open mind" on rate hikes and consider the example of the 1990s and Greenspan. What's interesting about this oft-cited analogy is that there's the 1996-97 Greenspan who resisted hiking https://t.co/xSQ2dV
There are clearly some Fed policymakers who favor an unconditional higher policy path, but the center of the Committee remains focused on incoming data rather than pre-committing to further tightening. https://t.co/eq6vcf4ZRE
We’re in the middle of the most acute refined products market crisis in history and China is… … cutting cuts to fresh recent seasonal lows. https://t.co/E7vpk6vNJn 引用 @VKMacro:China refinery run rates are trending lower again for SOE. Where are we on imports? https://t.co/fUREB6DGS8
I've been making the case for bonds. If this cover cannot convince you that it's time for bonds, I cannot help you anymore!! @donnelly_brent https://t.co/v1tYd6DX9G 引用 @biancoresearch:For years, yields were below where the economy said they should be. That is no longer the case. https://t.co/m60E
China's criticism shows that the IMF's assessment does in fact matter And one technical matter -- the IMF policy recommendations for China include a significant fiscal consolidation, which all else equal would push China's current account surplus up and implies a bigger real 引用 @niubi:very sensiti
Speech by Governor Waller on the economic outlook @CentralBank_TR: https://t.co/FXJ1moQ8Ug Watch live: https://t.co/myzcmKOHtr Learn more about Governor Waller: https://t.co/x9pLY09PF9
.@SecScottBessent: “The reason we had this crippling inflation under the Democrats was they created a demand shock, but then the regulatory state constricted supply. What President Trump has done is create a private-sector demand shock with tax policy, energy policy, and trade https://t.co/2l6sHeY7i