BlackRock的Jeffrey Rosenberg称美国就业报告是“鸽派”报告
BlackRock的Jeffrey Rosenberg将美国9月就业报告称为“鸽派”报告。作为Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund的投资组合经理,他谈及该报告对美联储利率路径和美债收益率的影响。
外媒与科技媒体长文、研究号文章。按时间排,不论是否入选精选。
BlackRock的Jeffrey Rosenberg将美国9月就业报告称为“鸽派”报告。作为Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund的投资组合经理,他谈及该报告对美联储利率路径和美债收益率的影响。
美国9月新增就业人数低于预期,美元周五下跌,交易员因此下调对美联储今年加息的押注。
美国9月就业人数增长弱于预期,失业率也小幅上升;这可能使利率制定者在10月暂不调整利率。
Facing funding barriers, euro zone firms use own cash for AI, ECB blog says Reuters
Fed seen skipping October rate hike as job market cools Reuters
美国9月新增就业岗位低于预期,工资增长放缓。摘要称,成本上升之际,雇主招聘态度谨慎。
美国9月新增非农就业2.9万人,低于预期的9万人,失业率升至4.2%。彭博记者Michael McKee报道了这份就业报告。
美国就业市场显露疲软迹象后,债券交易员下调了对美联储本月加息的预期。
Figure prompts traders to rein in bets on Fed rate rises
特朗普称,较高水平的通胀也能迅速偿还美国国债;文章称,美国国债规模为40万亿美元,年度利息支出达2万亿美元,债务与GDP之比超过120%。文章梳理了关税增收和经济增长等降低债务率的路径,并引述分析人士对高于目标的通胀及实际利率的讨论;美联储的通胀目标为2%。
US stock-index futures moved higher on Friday as investors prepared for the monthly employment report for clues on the Federal Reserve’s path ahead.
Euro zone inflation surges more than expected, keeping pressure on ECB to hike rates Reuters
Homeowners like me are staying put, the market is frozen and affordability is as ugly as it was in the housing bubble
The Treasury secretary is critical of claims of a “K-shaped” US economy
花旗美国经济学家Veronica Clark认为,美联储内部在加息问题上正“越来越分歧”,劳动力市场也“肯定比我们预期的更稳定”。
Americans are using BNPL for rent and groceries as Fed policy confronts two economies.
A selloff in global debt has fueled a rout that’s hitting harder and faster in France than anyone expected, with nerves fraying about missed deficit targets and policy gridlock. The US jobs report is set be a macro highlight at a time when resilient data are supporting riskier assets while giving th
French President to hold call with G7 leaders to discuss stock releases Reuters
Heavy selling this week pushed 10-year US Treasury yields to their highest level since 2002
Gold held a modest gain as US bond yields softened and Federal Reserve officials signaled they needed more time to weigh their next move on interest rates, even as a possible escalation in the Middle East kept energy costs elevated.
Risks spanning credit markets, elevated commodity prices and French political turmoil boosted demand for safer government bonds, snapping a prolonged decline fueled by persistent inflation concerns.
美联储库克认为,AI 推升通胀是 2027 年的主要风险之一。
Dollar at 17-month high as global bond rout hits euro Reuters
Asian shares fall after wild swings in bonds, FX before US jobs data Reuters
堪萨斯城联储主席杰夫·施密德表示,长期利率持续上升正影响更多经济领域,多户住宅、商业贷款和房价已出现压力。里士满联储主席托马斯·巴金称,万亿美元规模的AI建设推高需求与利率;波士顿联储主席苏珊·柯林斯表示,AI投资也在支撑经济增长,但能否维持当前速度仍待观察。
美国30年期固定房贷利率升至近三年高位,周均利率达到7.28%,房贷申请量随之下滑。Mortgage Bankers Association称,截至9月25日当周申请量环比下降6%;可调利率房贷占申请量10.3%,为2025年10月以来最高。Capital Economics预计,30年期固定房贷利率到2027年底平均为6.25%。
Bond traders are betting so heavily that more interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are on the horizon that even the anticipated slowdown in job growth is unlikely to significantly alter the outlook.
达拉斯联储主席洛根表示,美联储必须继续加息,才能充分抑制通胀。她还表示,美债收益率上升可能有助于经济放缓。
Fed officials wash away market bets on October rate increase Reuters
There’s a tug of war going on in the U.S. Treasury market right now
Homebuilders and prospective buyers continue to face challenging market conditions with midterms looming weeks away
Trump could seek to remove Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook and Michael Barr from the Federal Reserve, but court rulings and lengthy litigation could limit him.
Stephanie Roth, chief economist at Wolfe Research, and Guneet Dhingra, head of US rates strategy at BNP Paribas join Emily Graffeo on "Bloomberg Real Yield." US Treasuries rebounded from the global bond selloff that raced through European markets on Thursday. Earlier in the day, US 10-year yield sur
美联储副主席 Philip Jefferson 表示,决策者可能需要更多时间,才能判断是否还需加息以抑制通胀。他是在弗吉尼亚大学的一场活动上作出上述表态。
市场预计美国9月就业报告将显示新增就业岗位8.4万个,为夏季收尾。报告将于周五发布。
美联储副主席 Philip Jefferson 表示,决策者可能需要更多时间,才能判断是否需要进一步加息以抑制通胀。
US Treasuries rebounded from the global bond selloff that raced through European markets on Thursday, pulling 10-year yields back from a 24-year high. Bloomberg's Ira Jersey joins to discuss. (Source: Bloomberg)
美国联邦贸易委员会(FTC)正调查OpenAI、Anthropic等人工智能公司产品可能给消费者带来的风险,计划未来几周索取公司文件并要求高管作证。调查早于白宫活动;前一天,OpenAI、Anthropic、Google、Meta等公司签署自愿性AI安全协议,承诺实施四层控制与审计。
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeff Schmid says the Fed hasn't fulfilled its promise on the inflation side of its mandate at the Richmond Fed's Investing in Rural America conference. (Source: Bloomberg)
What’s behind climbing bond yields all over the world? Guy Johnson explains. (Source: Bloomberg)