Nagel Sees Good Case for Central-Bank Diversification Into Gold
Rising government debt levels strengthens the case for central banks to increase their gold holdings, according to Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel.
外媒与科技媒体长文、研究号文章。按时间排,不论是否入选精选。
Rising government debt levels strengthens the case for central banks to increase their gold holdings, according to Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel.
《Odd Lots》播客邀请芝加哥大学副教授、芝加哥联储常驻学者 Carolin Pflueger,讨论美国国债收益率与全球债券收益率同步飙升的原因,以及债券是否正变得更具根本性风险。节目还探讨投资者若无法再用政府债券对冲股票会怎样,以及市场对美联储“反应函数”的预期如何影响这一问题。
Chicago Fed's Carolin Pflueger thinks only rates, not words, can affect public perception.
2026年第3季,全球IPO市场融资活动升温,港股IPO募资额达1,756.01亿港元,为2018年第4季以来单季最高;与此同时,港股新股破发率上升。截至9月30日,港股前三季度共有116只新股,首日破发率为22.41%,上市后破发率升至52.69%。文章还梳理了美联储加息、AI上游波动及港交所上市规则调整,并列出港股IPO与再融资规模、A股和美股新股募资数据。
A combination of elevated oil prices and surging bond yields has derailed a broadening in the rally that was supposed to propel stocks to new records.
新兴市场股票和货币上涨,背景是美国就业数据弱于预期且油价进一步下跌,市场对美联储大幅加息的担忧有所缓和。
美国就业报告缓解美联储加息压力后,铜价连续第二个交易日上涨。
Stocks upbeat, dollar wobbles as Fed hike bets recede Reuters
Gold edged up after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed the impact of a slowdown in the US jobs market and higher bond yields on the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates.
亚洲股市预计开盘走高,较弱的美国就业数据缓解了美联储继续加息的压力。也门发起夺回胡塞武装控制地区的行动后,布伦特原油上涨。
President Donald Trump’s chief economic adviser called on former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to leave the central bank’s board after an internal report cited management failures in the renovation of its headquarters.
Ira Jersey表示,9月就业数据走软,为美联储10月维持利率不变留出空间;但通胀持续,决策者仍可能在12月及明年年初再次加息。他还称,经济增长强劲和财政政策宽松推高全球债券收益率,令各国央行继续面临抑制通胀的压力。
G7释放1亿桶应急燃料已推动燃料价格下跌,但由于炼油能力受限及中东供应中断导致柴油供应紧张,缓解可能只是暂时的。中国石油需求,以及霍尔木兹海峡和红海周边风险升级,将影响全球能源价格走势。
Minutes from the September meeting may provide extra context, as the real fed-funds rate is now surprisingly low.
America’s debt is rising by the trillion. Congress is still refusing to face the bill.
IT之家 10 月 4 日消息,当地时间 10 月 3 日,美国财政部长斯科特 · 贝森特(Scott Bessent)在接受 Axios 采访时批评部分 AI 行业人士针对人工智能“生存性风险”发出的警告。他认为仅仅发出危言耸听的警告、却拿不出具体解决方案,并不能称为领导力。他同时呼吁 AI 实验室负责人承担安全责任,并在确保安全的前提下继续推进 AI 发展。贝森特表示:“我们必须为各种情况做好准备,但另一方面,AI 界某些人只发出危言耸听的声音,却拿不出解决方案,这不是领导力。”此前,Anthropic CEO 达里奥 · 阿莫代伊(Dario Amodei)曾呼吁放缓最先进 AI 模型的
Any urgency among Federal Reserve and European Central Bank policymakers to follow up September interest-rate hikes at this month’s meetings has been dialed back in the wake of soft US jobs data and acute stress in French financial markets.
Scope Ratings维持美国主权信用评级在AA-、展望稳定,并警告利息成本上升和市场情绪变化正加大美国债务风险。美国10年期美债收益率为5.27%;若收益率持续比国会预算办公室预测高约1个百分点,未来十年债务或增加3.5万亿美元。Scope预计债务上限41.1万亿美元将在2027年初触及,选举后的政治僵局可能延长债务上限争端。
G7表示计划在未来数周释放1亿桶石油和燃料产品,先在20天内大量投放柴油,其余部分在四个月内释放;特朗普称美国不会实施柴油出口禁令。美国柴油全国均价周五为每加仑6.37美元,9月22日曾创下6.52美元纪录。文章提到,欧洲柴油供应还受到俄罗斯暂停出口及波斯湾炼厂受损、出口路线受阻的影响;分析人士称,释放欧洲库存可能减少美国柴油出口,并估计数周后美国柴油价格或下降每加仑25至50美分。
As public fears of AI grow, Trump digs in on voluntary safeguards Reuters
美国经济9月新增就业人数低于预期,工资增长也不及预期。高成本可能正使雇主保持谨慎。
Speaking at the KEC 2026, Malhotra outlined five priorities for policymakers and called for continued vigilance against emerging systemic risks that are increasingly cross-border and interconnected
Trump: not going to be doing diesel export ban Reuters
Kevin Warsh’s predecessor had been investigated over cost overruns related to central bank renovation projectThe US justice department is not reopening a criminal investigation into former Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for cost overruns related to the central bank’s building renovation pro
Chris Phelan CEA Chairman, sees inflation clearly easing and thinks it's doing so quickly enough. He speaks with Romaine Bostick on "The Close." (Source: Bloomberg)
美国9月非农就业人数增加29,000人,低于彭博调查中的所有预估,前两个月数据同时被下修。数据公布后,交易员下调了对美联储本月再次加息的押注,新兴市场货币指数升至盘中高点。
US attorney-general Todd Blanche says not having ‘any oversight’ of the central bank’s $2.5bn renovation project ‘isn’t necessarily a crime’
Wall Street has spent weeks trying to make peace with the great bond selloff. Friday offered some short-lived relief — along with a warning about the damage from stubbornly high yields across investment strategies of all stripes.
The confirmation comes after the Fed's inspector general report that said there were no grounds for a criminal referral over the mismanaged headquarters renovation.
IEA负责人比罗尔称,储备释放决定后油价开始下跌。
Expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates later this month have drifted lower
Bond traders are betting so heavily that more interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are on the horizon that even the anticipated slowdown in job growth is unlikely to significantly alter the outlook. Kitty Richards, senior fellow at the Groundwork Collaborative and a former Treasury official,
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has vowed to avoid sending clear signals to investors on where interest rates are headed. His top deputies made clear this week they’re still willing to oblige — and investors showed they’re still listening.
Christine Lagarde ought to provide some clarity on her future as European Central Bank president, according to Italy’s finance minister.
Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern speak daily with leaders and decision makers from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. No other program better positions investors and executives for the trading day than "Bloomberg Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)
For four decades, US government bonds have been both securities and money. They may no longer be that special
就业报告显示劳动力市场疲软后,更多交易员下调了美联储本月加息的可能性。
Rebecca Patterson, the former Bridgewater Associates LP chief investment strategist, warned that the US Federal Reserve’s unanimity on last month’s interest-rate hikes is likely to crack in October as policymakers diverge over next steps.
VIEW Soft September jobs report sends markets higher reuters.com
Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research says an October interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve may be on life support, but that could change with one bad inflation report. He speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)