Bond Traders Eclipsed by Equities in Rare Wall Street Reversal
As Wall Street’s fixed-income desks struggled in the third quarter, their rivals in equities seized a rare opening to outshine their market brethren.
外媒与科技媒体长文、研究号文章。按时间排,不论是否入选精选。
As Wall Street’s fixed-income desks struggled in the third quarter, their rivals in equities seized a rare opening to outshine their market brethren.
亿万富翁投资者Ray Dalio警告,美国债券抛售远未结束。政府和企业借款激增之际,部分全球最大传统买家的需求正在减弱。
Colombian borrowing costs may need to rise further and remain elevated for longer to curb mounting inflation risks, according to a senior policymaker.
Ed Yardeni表示,他认为利率已“回归正常”,而非“更高更久”,并谈及他对S&P的观点。美国及其他发达经济体收益率升至数十年高位,收紧金融条件;自9月中旬以来,八个主要经济体利率互换定价中的加息幅度减少近200个基点。
Goolsbee says AI-induced inflation is 'jumping out of its lane,' Semafor reports Reuters
Adjustable-rate mortgages with low introductory interest rates are facing their first adjustment at a time when rates are much higher, according to new data.
Brokers increased their share of Europe’s repo market to the highest since 2012 as automated trading lost ground to more discreet ways of raising cash during turbulence sparked by the Iran war.
Many asset allocators are waiting for bond yields to hit 6% before they flip the switch from equities to fixed income, but a significant portion are already making the transition.
Brazil analysts lowered their interest rate forecasts for the end of this year as right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro leads polls for the presidential runoff, boosting investor hopes of tighter fiscal policy.
Czech core inflation accelerated more than the central bank expected in September as policymakers are set to debate whether to raise interest rates for a second time this year.
After six years, BlackRock finds opportunities in government bonds.
With UK bond yields recently racking up fresh multi-decade highs, new Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey can seize on a crumb of comfort ahead of a tricky first budget later this month.
BlackRock cools on US stocks, turns bullish on short-dated Treasuries Reuters
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the surge in long-term US Treasury yields is helping to curb demand in interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as housing and automobiles, doing some of the work of tighter monetary policy.
彭博援引知情人士称,日本央行官员倾向于本月不进行罕见的连续加息,但仍在考虑最早于12月再次采取行动。材料仅提供摘要,未说明官员讨论的具体内容。
Appetite for a popular, but ultimately disappointing rates bet on the overhaul of the €1.7 trillion ($1.9 trillion) Dutch pension industry is returning, according to BNP Paribas SA.
The exposure of France’s banking sector to the nation’s public debt remains limited and doesn’t pose stability risks even as yields on government bonds surge, the country’s top financial watchdog said Tuesday.
Bond yields fell on Tuesday as investors await more economic data releases this week.
France opens debate on its 2027 budget as high deficits, rising debt and student protests intensify pressure on lawmakers.
Faster-than-expected economic growth in the UK and a resilient jobs market are evidence that the Bank of England isn’t doing enough to bear down on inflation, rate-setter Megan Greene said.
Government bond funds are attracting record inflows as borrowing costs hit their highest level in decades
Stress at long end of US yield curve appears to be moving towards short-term lending markets, threatening to complicate life for the Fed
Also in today’s newsletter: US Treasuries and Houthi attacks
国际货币基金组织(IMF)一名高级官员称,政府债券收益率飙升是全球金融体系面临的最大新兴风险。IMF同期发布了每年两次的金融稳定展望报告。
IMF称,政府债券市场风险已经加剧,收益率可能出现大幅且无序的跳升。
长周末后交易恢复,亚洲股市下跌带动避险资产需求,美债上涨。
Benchmark 10-year yields jumped to their highest since March 2023 on Monday.
The growth of corporate goods prices in Japan eased again while staying at elevated levels, indicating that inflationary pressure from input costs may have peaked for now and suggesting less urgency for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates after last month’s hike.
BNY Investments 全球客户投资组合管理联席主管 April LaRusse 认为,若中东冲突缓和或劳动力市场数据走弱,债券市场可能迎来缓解性反弹。她表示,现在断言美债收益率见顶还为时过早,市场目前定价的约三次加息可能过高。
今年,美债市场突破了一道重要的心理关口,不同期限美债收益率升至数十年来未见的水平,且暂无放缓迹象。
贝莱德研究部门转为更看好美国短期国债,并解除过去近六年来一直维持的核心低配立场。此举发生在美债收益率升至二十多年来最高水平之际。
Joanna Gallegos, chief operating officer and co-founder of BondBloxx, joins Scarlet Fu and Eric Balchunas on "ETF IQ". They discuss rising US yields, opportunities in the front-end of the Treasury curve and private credit, including the BondBloxx Private Credit CLO ETF (ticker: PCMM). (Source: Bloom
French business uncertainty jumped in September on concerns about fuel prices and a deterioration of the economy, another headwind at a time of bond-market tensions.
After weeks of selling that pushed Treasury yields to multi-year highs, Wall Street strategists are starting to see value in bonds again.
US mortgage rates increased for seven straight weeks for the first time in three years, adding pressure to an already weak housing market. Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at Cotality, discusses home sales and the outlook for mortgage rates and refinancing. (Source: Bloomberg)
Twenty-five years to the month since the US Treasury shocked investors by ending sales of the 30-year bond, the Treasuries market is debating whether 20-year securities are now set for the chopping block.
美债收益率飙升触发抵押贷款对冲,并加大债券市场压力。
Investors fled US mortgage bond funds at historic levels over the past three weeks, with outflows ranking among the seven worst since the start of 2021, as surging interest rates spur a flight from volatility.
Divya Singaravelu of Meridian 1305 Capital joins Vonnie Quinn to discuss the better-than-even odds that the 10-year yield hits 6% by late 2027, and a 1-in-10 chance it happens before New Year's. (Source: Bloomberg)
European Central Bank Governing Council member Christodoulos Patsalides cautioned that there’s only so much officials can do to keep inflation shocks at bay.